The Whistler Thread

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The Whistler Thread
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Posted: Mar 25, 2020 at 11:15 Quote
leelau wrote:
provin1327 wrote:
Stainer wrote:
If I was a betting man I'd say Highly likely that there will be no 2020 bike park season.

Check this out

https://mobile.twitter.com/jeremycyoung/status/1239975682643357696

And the full study here explaining why at min the next 18 months globally is going to be Interesting

https://www.imperial.ac.uk/media/imperial-college/medicine/sph/ide/gida-fellowships/Imperial-College-COVID19-NPI-modelling-16-03-2020.pdf

One criticism I have read on that paper is that it does not take into account time and the benefit of time. We can get ahead of this thing if everyone takes social distancing, hand washing, and stay-at-home orders seriously. If we take those things seriously it will slow down the spread which gives manufacturers and hospitals a break and time to catch up with protective equipment, testing, and ventilators. The paper also does not take into account the effect of breaking up large crowds, travel bans, and contact tracing.

https://medium.com/@tomaspueyo/coronavirus-the-hammer-and-the-dance-be9337092b56

With all that being said, I'm 99.9% sure my June 5 Whistler trip isn't happening. See you next year Whistler.

That Imperial paper is definitely worse-case and, in addition to what you say, ignores the effects of implementing wide-spread testing protocols and contact-tracing (although an argument could be made that it's too late for most Euro and Noram countries to look for that).

Re postponing your trip. A wise choice imo Cry

Both of you are right with it being worse case. I highly doubt will get to that point, but I could see Vail treading on the side of caution with this.

Not sure if my body can handle missing both last season and this one Frown

Posted: Mar 25, 2020 at 13:56 Quote
There'll be a lot that needs to fall into place for a semi normal park season. Covid19 spread will have to be controlled to a point where people can gather in public, treatments to a point where the hospitals aren't stressed to or over their capacity, park maintenance on trails and lifts, staff recruitment to run everything, financially sound for Vail to do so.

The hospital thing is huge, even if the virus is somewhat controlled the last thing the health care in Whistler will need is tend of extra people per day with soft tissue injuries, broken bones and concussions.

Posted: Mar 25, 2020 at 17:40 Quote
I think if the situation will be resolved or under control and park reopens for summer, Vali will hire extra doctors to be ready. Also some street posts with tissues, masks and sanitizer gel dispensers will be available I think. Anyway, it's much better than lose tons of money while staying closed.

Posted: Mar 25, 2020 at 22:44 Quote
Chuvak wrote:
I think if the situation will be resolved or under control and park reopens for summer, Vali will hire extra doctors to be ready. Also some street posts with tissues, masks and sanitizer gel dispensers will be available I think. Anyway, it's much better than lose tons of money while staying closed.

Canada has public healthcare so Vail hiring extra doctors is a no go.

I really want to be optimistic too but I dont see this park season going. It's pretty bad here ( not as bad as the US) but it's going to be a few months at least. Maybe more

Posted: Mar 25, 2020 at 23:59 Quote
I try to convince myself that Canada will sort it out before my flight, but preparing for the worst.

Posted: Mar 26, 2020 at 6:56 Quote
leelau wrote:
Chuvak wrote:
I think if the situation will be resolved or under control and park reopens for summer, Vali will hire extra doctors to be ready. Also some street posts with tissues, masks and sanitizer gel dispensers will be available I think. Anyway, it's much better than lose tons of money while staying closed.

Canada has public healthcare so Vail hiring extra doctors is a no go.

I really want to be optimistic too but I dont see this park season going. It's pretty bad here ( not as bad as the US) but it's going to be a few months at least. Maybe more

There are no "extra" doctors in Canada to put to work anyways. We've had a doctor shortage for decades and things are going to get worse as our healthcare staff (docs, nurses, pharmacists, etc) also get sick and can't be at work. Fingers crossed, but things might get pretty rough over the next few months.

Posted: Mar 26, 2020 at 7:20 Quote
I've already crossed all the things that are able to cross)

Posted: Mar 26, 2020 at 10:19 Quote
Chuvak wrote:
I try to convince myself that Canada will sort it out before my flight, but preparing for the worst.

When are you flying out? Boarders are likely to be closed for a while yet.

Posted: Mar 26, 2020 at 16:07 Quote
Stainer wrote:
When are you flying out? Boarders are likely to be closed for a while yet.
1st July-3rd Aug

Posted: Mar 27, 2020 at 10:24 Quote
Chuvak wrote:
Stainer wrote:
When are you flying out? Boarders are likely to be closed for a while yet.
1st July-3rd Aug

I just asked my magic 8 ball and it said "without a doubt"

So we'll see haha

Posted: Mar 27, 2020 at 21:04 Quote
More like "Try again tomorrow"

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