Video: Pinkbike's Predictions for 2021

Jan 11, 2021
by Mike Levy  


New year, new me? The only thing I'm able to predict with any certainty is that that won't be happening, but I'm not gonna let that keep us from taking a stab about the coming twelve months. You can read that and other conjecture from Mike Kazimer, Matt Wragg, and Brian Park in our 2021 predictions article, or you can watch the version above that includes a smoke machine. Isn't everything better with a smoke machine?


222 Comments

  • 232 9
 I predict that pinkbike will continue to make an article, a video, and a podcast about the same exact content...?
  • 51 1
 The only forms of media left are for Taj to make some cartoons, or the PB staff a capella group recording a song about the same 2021 predictions
  • 19 1
 oof.mp3
  • 5 1
 Desperate times...
  • 16 1
 Oh come on, this gives equal chance to students, office workers, labourers and dentists alike to waste some time in their favourite format!
  • 2 0
 @nhlevi: im wasting time in physics right now!
  • 3 0
 next year will all be about the weight savings of raw carbon frames vs the strength benefits of polymer based continuous flow paints protecting carbon frames making them 43 x stronger..... 2022.... lawsuit about said 43 x stronger frames....
  • 7 2
 I predict that Pinkbike will continue to release product teasers, and then a full review the next day.
  • 1 1
 @seraph: And team roster announcements one day with a shredit to immediately follow.
  • 1 0
 Fool me once, fool me twice, yada yada yada
  • 4 1
 @OpeSorryAbootThat: what makes you think we don’t already have an a Cappella group?
  • 5 0
 @AJisTerrible: If you would actually pay attention in your Physics class, we might have some more innovation to read about in ten years! Take one for the team!
  • 6 1
 I would really like to see reliability standards enter the MTB space. How about all components are guaranteed for their first 1000 miles? Oh, not everyone uses their bike the same? good, build extra reliable components.

In one year (1000 miles) from a brand new bike I have had to replace out of necessity
Both guide brakes
GX Derailleur
Fox DPX2 - damper rebuild
2 GX chains
I'm 170lbs, a bike mech and service my bike before every ride, visit bike parks twice a year. I should not be burning through parts so fast
  • 1 1
 @thunder13: STOP RUNNING INTO EVERYTHING ON THE TRAIL...




Smile
  • 2 0
 @stiingya: Ha, No crashes this year, just wear n tear.

And I'm not going to NOT SEND
  • 3 0
 @thunder13: not at all unusual to be having issues with Fox suspension and SRAM drivetrain and brakes. You’ll notice the rather crazy service intervals and number of special tools/techniques required for each.
  • 80 6
 Staying happy with the bike that we currently own is a nice prediction. If the pandemic can teach us to consume a little bit less, it's a good thing. No need to change bikes so often, no need to make people believe that they need new things every 10 sec. I'm likely to buy a bike from the same brand if it held up good during the 5+ years that I owned it, and if their business model/pricing hasn't changed... *ahem* sorry Nukeproof *ahem* Businesses are angry because they are forced to close, and they pass us a part of the bill to compensate for the economic losses with a covid tax.
  • 18 8
 @Forest-Gnome That someone downvoted this makes me shake my head in despair.
  • 18 0
 @Chuckolicious: it was probably Nukeproof...
  • 6 1
 Totally agree. Hopefully people learn contentment and try out things that make more of a difference than the purchase of a new complete bike. Tires come to mind. What a difference they make. If a majority held onto their bike for the next 5 years, I am sure that the supply/demand would cause the prices of complete bikes to drop, enabling less wealthy and newer riders from various backgrounds to get into the sport.
  • 24 0
 My bike was amazing when I bought it a couple years ago. Surprisingly, it was amazing yesterday. Weird
  • 12 17
flag Baller7756 (Jan 11, 2021 at 14:27) (Below Threshold)
 I'm a downvoter on this. Sure its a nice little conservationist message, but I like new stuff, and new innovations. I'm getting a new rig every year (2 bikes in the rotation). I'm not trashing my old bike... its sold off to a new owner who can keep it as long as they want. If I could lease a new bike, I would.
  • 11 0
 @Baller7756: You don't see how you can do as you do, yet still appreciate the merit of his message? Really? Sheesh!
  • 5 7
 @Chuckolicious: I think I can. Maybe it was just the "Covid teach us something lead in" that "triggered" me. I dont want to give this thing any more attention and credit than its already gotten. I cant see any good to come of this and our reactions to it.
  • 7 1
 @Baller7756: do you ride a yeti?
  • 4 0
 @JSTootell: Not possible. Bikes automatically become sh*t after 6 months of ownership.
  • 2 0
 @leviatanouroboro: Current stable of 2 bikes... Transition Spur and Yeti SB165.
  • 3 0
 With sweet tech like anglesets and offset bushings, people can really get a different feel for a small chunk of change. I know I’ll be trying and shoe set to refresh my rig this year!
  • 2 0
 @bh406: Just did exactly that. Diamondback Release 3 with the 150 Pike. RS has 2020 internals, both damper and spring, to upgrade Pike, as well as increase to allowed 160mm. Got a 1deg headset to match it. Likely 2-3 more full seasons on that thing now!
  • 78 7
 Kazimer absolutely crushes Levi in enduro race. Levi responds by calling it fake news and claiming he won by landslide.
  • 54 3
 Watch it buddy, there might be a few failed actors here living with their mothers who'll take offense to what you said. And they have spears. And horns. And make-up.
  • 6 3
 @uphill-blues: Downvotes agree
  • 63 4
 Prediction: Maybe we all are thinking it's still only Sram vs. Shimano, but I think you're going to see continued growth and success of smaller, more niche brands in the component market because Sram and Shimano are struggling to keep up the pace and demand of brands for complete builds and replacement parts (anyone else brake a Shimano lever and couldn't track one down? Or see unfinished builds in shops because they can't get parts?). You'll see the TRPs, Hayes, Magura, E-Thirteen etc. all see more opportunity to get their stuff out into the wild and hopefully succeed. Thank you for coming to my Ted Talk.
  • 11 9
 Dear God I hope so. These brands have not really been all that good to customers.
  • 22 1
 If the big companies like SRAM or Shimano are struggling to keep pace with production what makes you think all these smaller companies, with much less leverage and production capacity are going to be able to even keep up with their current production, let alone expand into the OEM market?
  • 23 2
 microSHIFT is positioned well to take over a percentage of the S vs S drivetrain battle. My prediction is that many will go to 1x10 speed in 2021. No, not being sarcastic or joking. The Advent X really is that good.
  • 4 0
 @ridealongside: Completely agree with this! Was looking to go MicroShift on a couple of my bikes, but the dreaded SOLD-OUT has prevented me. I'm hoping to eventually go to a 1x9 setup, so maybe I'll look at Box 3 Prime 9. Still deciding...
  • 3 0
 Yup. I'm currently rocking a TRP shifter/derailleur with e13 Helix cassette and it's working as nice as any SRAM Eagle setup I've had. Hope to see more drivetrain choice this year for sure!
  • 2 0
 @ridealongside: I got my hands on the Acolyte group for my son's bike. It's great and very inexpensive.
  • 2 0
 I broke a lever in November - $29 to replace, but completely unavailable. So I bought a whole Deore M6100 lever for... $29. Quick bleed, and I'm good to go with levers that you only know are mismatched if you look down.
  • 3 0
 IMO Hayes is already creeping into the market again. I really like the feel of my Hayes Dominion A4s and see more and more people running them over Sram/Shimano.
  • 2 0
 @wcantwel: I have been on Hope for forever and a day, with Saints/XT's been sprinkled in here and there. That said, I do hear good things about the Hayes Dominions. Last set of Hayes I ran was an OG set back in 1998 or so (yes I am old)
  • 1 0
 @ridealongside: Micro is insane, my freind has the og advent on his bike, he hasnt serviced it in a year, and it still works perfect, im considering dropping my old deore for it
  • 1 0
 @sino428: super good point. I think that customers are left to seek other options which may bolster opportunity for these brands. But you're right, maybe they got pushed to the back of the production line? Merely predictions!
  • 1 0
 @club-roost: the opportunity would certainly be there for smaller companies to fill the void. I just think those smaller companies won’t be able to take advantage of it because they are most likely suffering from some of the same issues as the larger companies.
  • 1 0
 @wcantwel: I love my Hayes Stroker Ace brakes on my dh bike. My only gripe on them is the inability to have them worked on at the bike park as the mechanics there don’t carry their service kits.
  • 90 36
 Christina Chappeta will continue to be much more pleaseant to look at than Kazimer and Levy combined.
  • 11 0
 But those lycra candids?!!?
  • 7 0
 mmmmm idk Kazimers looking pretty good atm
  • 50 3
 I predict that there will be a large number of used bikes later in the year, due to people leaving the sport after covid.
  • 7 0
 Agreed. My 11 year old is doing jobs for his grandparents and saving every dollar for his next rig because I told him that lots of riders will likely ditch their bikes this spring/summer for dirt cheap.
  • 3 0
 this was my prediction in March & April 2020.
  • 4 0
 The bubble has to burst, but I think the pop will be coming in about 2025 at this rate
  • 1 0
 Hope so. I'll be due for a replacement in the next few years.
  • 3 0
 Hmmm, not sure people are just going to “leave the sport” because COVID is over. I hope those people realize how sweet it is, see improvement to their mental/physical health and it continues to grow. Maybe instead of only riding in their backyard, they go on trips again but instead go on mtb trips. I’m a lame optimist though...
  • 11 0
 Won't happen for a couple of years. First, Covid isn't going away right away. Second, people are going to let the bike sit in the garage for a year or two (or 10) before cleaning up. Third, the people who get out soon aren't going to be willing to sell their $600 bike they paid $1000 for, for the real used value of $300.
  • 1 0
 @JSTootell: its a good thing demand is high, you can charge more for your used bike because there arent many out there and right now late summer or fall is the earliest ETA on a lot of bikes if you dont already have one on back order from a few months back.
  • 3 0
 Most people aren't going to sell them right away if they "leave" the sport. They'll likely hang on to them for another year before cleaning the garage out.
  • 40 5
 I predict that people still wont shut up about the Grim Donut
  • 25 1
 2022 mix treks stache + remedy+ slash = trek RASH presented by gary fisher
  • 14 0
 I predict everytime PB reviews an expensive bike, 1 of the 1st two comments will be whining because it's too expensive. Everytime PB reviews a cheap bike 1 of the 1st two comments will be whining because it's too heavy and the bike they bought used in '04 is lighter than that boat anchor. I predict continuing hyperbole on how SRAM drivetrains blow up if you look at them wrong (seriously bro, do you even shift?) meanwhile Shimano makes their drivetrains out of angel feathers. I predict everyone getting really sick of oil-slick because oil-slick seems to be what I can find online.
  • 4 0
 Don't forget the predictable dentist jokes. Which is really lame because being a dentist is not easy, imagine getting into people's mouths all day. We should be making jokes about hedge fund managers and the like.
  • 7 0
 You've given greater understanding to your name: @DoubleCrownAddict I mistakenly thought it was in reference to a bike component.
  • 8 0
 3 2021 predictions :

1: PB forum will continue to be a place of open-mindedness and welcome off all types of mountain biking... as long as its low, long and slack..... er.

2: Fox release the fox 30 fork because who wants a stiff/heavy fork?

3: Tim Hortons will go into administration.
  • 8 1
 Yeah and 20mm axles will make a comeback because they allow the fork to be made lighter - the axle is stiffer so they can reduce the stiffness of the lowers casting and maintain the same stiffness at a lower weight.
  • 8 0
 So, if they make a new Session, PBers will have to specify which Session a bike looks like. Perhaps the new Session won't look like a Session.
  • 3 0
 If the new Session doesn't look like a Session, PB will implode. I'm sure of it.
  • 6 0
 I predict that singe speed bikes will become the norm in 2021 due to the inability of anyone to source replacement cassettes and derailleurs. Followed by widespread acceptance of the 'deathgrip' technique due to bike shops running out of replacement brake pads. By the end of 2021, committed mountain bikers will begin welding spikes onto the outside of their rims due to a global shortage of tyres.
  • 11 2
 I predict the smoke seen in the video will be legal everywhere, soon.
  • 2 1
 You sir won my vote!!!!!!
  • 5 0
 Denver front range and similar mountain west states will have parking and trail issues so much that trails start to close or require signup/membership. Open trails will no longer be single track as the norm becomes 4-5’ wide.
  • 2 0
 i hope to fck you're wrong Frown
  • 3 0
 @zeckgx After 10+ years, I recently left the Front Range (was SW Denver near Ruby Hill) and now in Bentonville. Thankfully I can ride to the trail head from my garage. Lots of riders here and out of towners, but thankfully the vast majority of trails within the great Northwest Arkansas area are built and maintained with MTB and MTB traffic growth in mind. Plenty of single track , flow/jumps, etc. Refreshing.
  • 3 1
 In Southern California we have an adventure pass we have to pay for for accessing the national forests. $20 a year. I’m fine paying a fee like that especially if it means better amenities at the trailheads. Maybe they can add a few parking spots to handle the crowd.
  • 5 0
 Dirt jump sales are going to go up slightly and then the market will flood, people will buy a dj to ride at their pumptrack, after 5 months or so of riding they will get bored of it, then realize that pump tracks are just an expensive excuse not to build jumps and sell the bike after 7, imma wait till june- july to shop.
  • 9 1
 New Saint needs to happen, it's been 7 years since it came out
  • 2 0
 Agreed.
  • 4 0
 Why
  • 3 0
 @Greendog: Many reasons. A saint crankset with a direct mount chainring would be great.
  • 1 0
 Why don't downhill bikes have gearboxes??? Hey rid of that ugly pos rear derailleur.
  • 8 2
 How can you have strong bike sales for the first half of the year when there are no bikes to buy? Just pre-sales with 6 month lag times?
  • 5 5
 Why do you think there are no bikes to buy? And there is a 6 month lag time?
  • 1 2
 Bike companies give discounts, better terms and free shipping to shops that order huge preseason orders. So most of the bikes for the year (for higher volume shops) showed up before covid took hold. And after the big preseason order is sold, the larger shops (that order more bikes and make preseason commitment) get preference for remaining bikes and smartly gobbled them up. So the small shops are pretty screwed.
  • 1 0
 Whoops, I misunderstood and thought you were referring to how sales have been strong while supply is now low
  • 1 1
 Still kind of applies though
  • 6 0
 So we've had longer lower and slacker, and now it's all about the steeper STA and size specific CS... I wonder what the next GEO must have will be?
  • 9 0
 Short seat tube is the next step. +200mm droppers on every frame size.
  • 4 0
 I think it’ll all be dialed back a bit. I think we hit the sweet spot already and don’t realize it. I don’t want a trail bike with 63 degree head angle!
  • 2 0
 I all about adjustable geo now and for the next couple years.
  • 2 0
 @SintraFreeride: And tall riders will be unable to run seats at a height that allows them to pedal properly (already a problem with many of the cool new-skool low-standover bikes...)
  • 1 0
 @MillerReid: You can say that again. After riding a 64 degree HA bike for just over a year (as a trail bike) I have sold it and gone for something with a bit of a steeper HA again. So much more versatile for the trails I have in my backyard.
  • 1 0
 @Linc: That won't be a problem because we will have 250mm dropper posts soon enough.
  • 1 0
 @SintraFreeride: The longer dropper posts get the more seat tube you need to insert them into so there is a limit. I recon we will start seeing more frames come out with integrated droppers that allow the user to set how far they extend out the frame and then cut the excess post away. It's the way you will get the most travel for any given frame.
  • 9 2
 I predict I'll finally win something.
  • 1 0
 I predict the winners of Advent Calendar 2020 will still be waiting for their prizes in December 2021.
  • 3 0
 Sadly I see many shops closing doors as it will get far worse before it gets better for smaller shops to have inventory. This is a huge problem. Afterwards I predict a more service oriented LBS concerned less with inventory and more with keeping the old still rolling; less based on required bike inventory but shifting to a more order/backorder scenario for the future. This is good, awesome and fantastic.... that is, if we can retain service parts and descent mechanics (come on Shimano and SRAM and rubber making facilities- -I'm looking at you Maxxis- ha!! we're hoping and praying).
More civic involvement now that everybody aaannnd their granma has found biking again. More trails, more miles with smiles! More focus on what one has not what one can get.
Hopefully less angst, hopefully more smiles!
  • 1 0
 IDK... about the worst before better thought. This has to be worst... unexpected high demand and reduced production capacity.

From here, things will begin to balance out. Production will be restored, and demand will drop for a couple reasons (1) new riders have bikes now (2) new riders wont have time or interest in riding and move on... dumping their bikes on the used market.

Good thought on the bike services focus... but again non committed riders really don't have their bikes serviced or maintained. That additional cost is beyond what they are willing to commit to the bike/sport.

More trails would be amazing! This is the single most impactful aspect limiting MTB proliferation.
  • 5 1
 EBikes will be called Bicycles .... Bicycles will be called acoustic .... HandleBar Phone mounts / Soda Holders will be the Top Upgrade ... E UpHill Traffic will be the Norm .......2021
  • 7 2
 I predict that you guys will continue to make the comments section as interesting or even more interesting than the articles here on Pinkbike.
  • 10 0
 I only read the comments, not the articles, so hopefully that's the case.
  • 1 0
 Hahahaha! Ride on!!!
  • 3 0
 Im so tired of hearing that "you dont need a dh bike anymore" god. Its like you want dh bikes to dissapear. They are the best bikes. most versatile? no. My prediction is that we will se more frankenbikes, 200mm double crown with 12 speed and a dropper for the winter.
  • 9 3
 I predict that mike levy will get more tattoos.
  • 6 0
 Where are Sarah's predictions?
  • 2 0
 -I predict Sram will come out with a 13 speed system, 10-54T cassette included, which will be wireless and have another freebody standard because why not, eh?
-I predict seat tube lengths will start coming down in all sizes.
-I predict 220-250mm dropper posts will start coming out
-Mullet and wagon wheels will become the norm and 650b will die off on the front.

I predict that all the above will happen in the next 2-3 years.
  • 7 0
 "I predict Sram will come out with a 13 speed system, 10-54T cassette included"

...but the second largest sprocket will still be 42t.
  • 2 0
 Let's hope not. 10 properly spaced gears on a rear cassette makes more sense than adding more unsprung weight to the rear wheel. Maybe all the big names can come together and standardize a gearbox drivetrain.
  • 1 0
 @brassinne: Utopia is a nice place to visit...in your dreams lol
  • 1 0
 @SintraFreeride: Oui, j'suis au courant. Lol
  • 2 0
 @brassinne: Your idea is good but I don't see the marketing departments allowing the engineers do that!
  • 2 0
 I'm not even gonna look at Pinkbike's 2021 predictions cuz...Wait...Wait... SRAM is gonna come out with yet another "standard" - wait...Oh, Campagnolo already beat them to 13-spd cassette? .... wait ... wait...SRAM comes out with a 14-spd cassette called....very fuzzy...WTF!?!
  • 16 13
 I want to see an enduro style bike with a double crown fork, I think that would look awesome. Maybe an option to making enduro bikes more capable?
  • 22 17
 38 and Zeb have 180 dude, you do not need dual crown on an Enduro bike, it makes zero sense.
  • 27 4
 @Imabigboy82: You're right, and you have clearly considered every possible scenario out there. Great work.
  • 11 15
flag Imabigboy82 (Jan 11, 2021 at 7:26) (Below Threshold)
 @bishopsmike: I dont understand why anyone that needs the benefits of a dual crown wouldnt buy a full on DH rig. Especially as those who use dual crowns usually have an uplift to get them to the top. Enduro riding isnt uplifting is it, it implies you want to pedal places so dual crown for me just doesnt make sense. Maybe its my old age talking, I mean for the kids a dual crown looks awesome for you IG accounts. Good luck.
  • 3 3
 You heard of the Slayer? Oh sorry, I guess it's considered a free ride bike...
  • 8 5
 @Imabigboy82: What about a dual crown fork makes it so awful for climbing, mind to explain?
  • 9 1
 @Arierep: (generally) long travel for plenty of fork bob, extra weight, and bonus knee-knockers just for fun. Let's flip this around. Can you explain how a dual crown could be anything but worse for climbing, all else being equal?
  • 6 6
 @Imabigboy82: a dual crown makes plenty of sense for big boy riders, would think you might have thought about that before you commented lol. I have the 38 in 180 on my Enduro but I would ditch it in a second for a dual crown 180 for the added rigidity of the second crown. I already blew out the CSU on my 38, flexes way too much. Not sure how much that has to do with Fox not understanding how to design a proper press-fit and my completely unathletic banzai riding style, but the 38 definitely flexes a lot when pushed like you might on a dh bike with a dual crown.
  • 2 0
 Spesh enduro rated for 180 double crowns I think. Plus the bigger travel evils have (or had) the option as a stock build.
I think you would be better off going the other way, modifying a DH bike with a dropper and different gearing. Only certain frames will be suitable for this due to the seat tube I guess
  • 8 2
 @BiNARYBiKE: In the old days when size large bikes had a reach under 400 mm you would smoke your knees on the crown when pedaling out of the saddle (just like you would also knee the stem and your shifters). Not an issue on today's bikes. Fork bob is no different on a 180 dual crown or a 180 single crown (but one will creak and one won't!). Only catch will be on really tight switchbacks, but if you can ride them on a 63 degree single crown, you can ride them on a dual crown. So dual crown is basically equal on the climbs, and so much better on the descents.
  • 3 0
 You mean something like the 2016 Specialized Enduro FSR Expert EVO 650b ?
www.pinkbike.com/photo/15905686
  • 2 0
 @rip8569: Yeah, that's more what I mean. Not so much putting a downhill fork on an enduro bike, but a dual crown fork version of like the 38 or something like that.
  • 3 0
 Me too! the weight penalty would be negligible and the extra air volume can make for a better riding fork. And I have had every CSU creak that I've ridden in the last 5 years...
  • 11 1
 @Imabigboy82: "I dont understand why anyone ..." Thank god the bike industry isn't restricted to what you understand.
  • 3 0
 @rip8569: My buddy runs an MRP Bartlett on his Evolink 158 and absolutely loves it. He's a larger guy and says it's a noticeable difference between that and his old 36. He also climbs everywhere on that thing and doesn't seem to have much issue. It's 190mm but the axle-to-crown is similar to a 170mm single crown if I recall correctly.

I on the other hand am not that big, and I'm perfectly happy with my 180mm Lyrik.
  • 2 2
 @GeorgeHayduke: Why would it be restricted, it was just a question. I dont get it, to my eyes there is good reason you dont see brands offering it but you carry on thinking you know better dude, great jarb!
  • 4 0
 @Imabigboy82: Wrong. Single crown forks with a ton of travel have a ton of flex.That can be fixed with a double crown.
  • 3 0
 @Imabigboy82: The reason we don't see it is because mtbiking is obsessed with weight! This is why we see 180mm single crown forks under 2kg with barely a drop of oil in them that require servicing every 2 days! If we actually cared and focused on performance we'd all be running dual crown forks with more oil!
  • 1 1
 @SintraFreeride: who would have thought you'd want less weight for pedalling up hill eh, crazy people eh, joker
  • 3 0
 @Imabigboy82: I don't! Certainly not at the cost of performance! You could always go full carbon rigid bike 6kg bike if you like, I'll stick to my +200mm travel dual crown 18kg trail bike, haha.
  • 2 0
 @Imabigboy82: I have a 20 (sub 20?) pound XC bike if going uphill is my goal. But when I am pointed DH, I want a bike that won't break under me, which is my 40ish pound bike.

But at 145 pounds, I can get away with single crown. But I can see others desires for a dual crown.
  • 1 1
 @jonbath: not to mention if you are using that DC fork as intended on the way down you should probably be wearing knee pads which would help with the knee knocks on the way up.
  • 2 0
 Yeah I love my 190 boxxer on my enduro bike, pedals amazing. It is an ebike though. I wouldn't want a flexy single crown fork which will develop a creaky CSU.
  • 1 0
 @OldDert: If you need knee pads so you don't hit your fork I suggest sizing up! Who is still running reach under 400mm?
  • 1 0
 @SintraFreeride: my megatrail is 490 and my Honzo ESD is 525, neither have a dual crown but I’ve been considering it for the megatrail. Just thought I’d add another point to the conversation. Thanks for the suggestion anyway.
  • 3 0
 I ran a boxxer on my enduro for a month or so, weighed about the same and even at 200mm had a shorter axle to crown than the 180mm Zeb I replaced it with. Over the 36 i took off, the difference in stiffness was huge, both from the legs and the direct mount stem, really feels a whole lot better. Climbing and general riding wasnt affected in the slightest, they don't bob or behave any differently than a regular fork and the increase in travel only ever gave positive effects. I'd have kept it on but i was a bit concerned about the thin carbon around the headtube, to be fair, the zeb is more comparable to the boxxer, than it was to the 36, so 38mm legs could be argued to make dual crowns less necessary.
  • 1 0
 @pbuser2299: what about suspension performance, suppleness etc, did you notice a decrease in that switching from the Boxxer to the ZEB or just less stiffness?
  • 2 0
 @Danzzz88: So this summer I was away and wrecked my bike, borrowed a mates geomotron with wc boxxers with fancy custom internals, that was my first introduction and they were amazing in every way, did 2 days of big trail riding with those on, aside from touching the bump stops on some switchbacks, there were no downsides, bike pedalled and climbed a lot better than mine did. Get my bike fixed, rode my 36s for a while, then the crowns started creaking, so while they were off for warranty I stuck the boxxer RCs off my old dh bike on my enduro, obviously these have a more basic motion control damper, bit heavier. The motion control damper struggles on small bumps, but still they generally felt a lot more solid than my 36s, without any ill effects from the dual crowns. After that i got some basic ebike spec zebs (they have a bigger crown that looks less likely to creak) because my 36s were out of warranty. Between the boxxers and the zebs, there's more to it than just saying one is better than the other, as i see it there are 3 ways your bike can flex.... 1) general front end stiffness, ie keeping your bars perpendicular to your wheel, flex from the steerer, stem, crown, etc. 2) directional stiffness, ie bars pointing inline with the front wheel, flex from the legs, crown, axle and 3) leg flex front to back, ie from the stanchions flexing, bushing play, lower legs, most of which causes the suspension to bind up to some degree. In the case of 1, the boxxers are in a different league to the 36 and at least noticeably better than the zeb, its kind of obvious really given how much more structure the crowns provide to the stem and it makes things feel a lot more controlled on cambers, etc. In the case of 2, boxxers were a big improvement over the 36s, but I'd say the zebs were on a par, steering stiffness helping you track through rock gardens, etc. For 3, I think the zebs are better than the boxxers, there probably is more flex at the crown, but it feels like none of that is in the legs, so no matter how hard you smash them, they just don't bind up. Generally I'd say the zebs were the best of the lot, the dampers better than my boxxer rc and the 36s, personally i prefer it over the custom wc boxxer i used, but that wasnt set up for me.
  • 3 2
 I predict Pinkbike will still push companies to sell even more expensive group sets because "wireless" and "connected".
Also I hope they stop pushing them to bring along that stuff but make all the other cheaper.

Additionally, entry level bikes will be even harder to come by. Used prices will go through the roof (especially santa cruz because, well, santa cruz).
  • 1 0
 I predict that the unknown brands and the smaller companies will gain market share. People will have to try out box components or wait six months for their new Sram/Shimano shifter. People will try out a new catalog bike frame instead of waiting six months for a new frame replacement . Inventory availability will dictate what gets bought for the next year, and it will not be brand specific.
  • 3 0
 Why didnt fox just make a fox 40 single crown? it would have cost less to develop, been stiffer, and they could have charged le- oh i see why
  • 2 0
 Hopefully people will realize a clutched Shimano 10spd drivetrain is a sweet spot and Shimano will release a properly spaced 10 SPD SLX or XT lightweight cassette. Probably not going to happen, but I can wish.
  • 2 0
 14 speed cassettes. 30 inch wheels and adjustable seat tube angle on the fly! All electronic bike parts will be compatible with I phones. But the I bike App with conflict with Strava.
  • 1 0
 prediction: SRAM comes out with a motor for iii-bikes. It grieves me to say this but I highly expect them to cater to the iii-bike crowd (and not leave this market to Shimano, Bosch etc.).

I would rather have Campagnolo re-enter the mtb components game and get some classy italian style into back onto our bikes. Smile
  • 1 0
 I predict the increase of Normal and especially e-bikers on the trail wil cause intolerance by other trail users such as hikers and horse-back riders.
The bikes may get better and more people using them, but the trails are more crowded than ever.... soon we may have to buy a gravel or a road bike.
Baden-Württemberg already prohibits mountainbikers using trails narrower than 2 meteres...Bavaria, a very liberal part of Germany regarding Mountainbiking is considering passing a similar law because of damaged trails and the increase of e- and normal bikers on trails "causing" damage.. So yes.. Happy to see more bikers.. not happy that there is a shift coming....
  • 2 1
 Not bad! Let’s see; I’m keeping my mullet wheeled 2020 bike through the year due to nothing else my-eye catching being available and looking for innovative upgrades to make to it.
Pretty spot on pb team.
  • 3 0
 I predict that chain reaction cycles will open/start to plan to open a location i europe.
  • 1 0
 No need. WiggleCRC acquired german company Bike24 in 2017 already, so there you go.
  • 3 0
 Pink bike the musical will premier at Tim Hortons with free Timbits for everybody....
  • 4 4
 Many people will move to e-bikes, but their reasons will be different and e-bike riders' support of trail associations should be tiered. Those that are getting to e-bikes to simply keep them riding (age, injury, other circumstances), but are still riding on average, the same trail miles as they did on an acoustic will continue to support their association at traditional levels. Those getting e-bikes to do more in a shorter period of time or to simply bang out laps (DH style shuttling and really long multi-battery rides) will want to donate a greater amount of time and money to their trail association, knowing the additional mileage they are putting on the trails. I don't think e-bikes themselves add much wear and tear to the trails, but it's the mileage mileage mileage that is possible and e-bike riders after mileage, especially DH mileage, need to pony up.
  • 5 1
 I do want to see a GX AXS drivetrain.
  • 3 0
 Id think GX stays cable and they move their X01 and XX1 to AXS only...
  • 3 0
 @Imabigboy82: I could see this and I like it! Make GX as good as XX1 now and make XX1 and X01 AXS only.
  • 3 0
 Call it GX if you want...really just need to get the cost down. Its just a shifter and derailleur... you really don't need those to be XX1, X01, or GX... it should just be AXS (wireless)... compatible with any cassette and crank combo.
  • 2 0
 Serious question: why? GX is already way overpriced. Why would you want to pay much more just for wireless? What's the benefit for you?
  • 1 0
 @fraserw: I have AXS on my Spur. I prefer it for ease of setup and adjustments. Having one less cable and a cleaner cockpit is nice too. IDK... maybe its in my mind, but the shifts seem more crisp and consistent as well.
  • 1 0
 @fraserw: I suck at adjusting my rear mech and my bike's cable routing isn't great. And yes, I just want this for less $.
  • 1 0
 @akoukov: This will solve your routing issue, but not your inability to adjust a rear mech. Still gotta get those limits right, which is the hardest part of any setup.
  • 2 0
 Brit specific:
I really hope to see more acceptance of mtb riding sharing the countryside, and not getting blamed for everything wrong in the world...behave yourselves!
  • 1 1
 Buy and sell market will continue to be overpriced as some folks who got into biking last summer will look to recoup costs for a better bike or an e-bike or have found biking is not their thing. May not see as many deals and will need to be patient on the Buy and Sell board.
  • 2 2
 Prediction of a wireless GX groupset? Seriously?

Can anyone, and I mean ANYONE seriously state that they want a wireless GX rear derailleur? For the money, GX sucks. Why would anyone in their right mind want to double the price of an already overpriced groupset in a way that doesn't improve performance at all?
  • 1 1
 I predict AI combined with GPS to automatically adjust your suspension for the terrain you are about to encounter. Trail condition data from onboard monitors will feed back to a central database (like Strava), which will use 5G to update your suspension in real time.
  • 2 1
 E-Bikes will become less powerful, with smaller, shittier batteries - but by calling it an 'E-bike', companies can increasingly get away with running heavy, crappy parts and charging a premium.
  • 1 0
 I think we'll be seeing more and more adjustable geometries (like the stump EVO and Altitude) and more models using the same frames like the new Salsa Cassidy and Blackthorn or the Rocky Mountain Altitude and Instinct.
  • 2 0
 E bikes will lose enough weight, while at the same time, all-mountain bikes will gain weight. Eventually ALL bikes will weigh around 35 pounds.
  • 4 1
 New models will be lighter and stiffer !
  • 6 1
 also, longer, lower, and slacker!
  • 4 2
 and red!
  • 2 0
 But I thought parts were now 'optimised for compliance'!
  • 2 0
 I predict that prices in the cycling industry will continue to rise and I will become bankrupt.
  • 2 0
 This is the third article with exactly the same re-packaged content? Hurting times in Squamish British Columbia I guess...
  • 1 2
 Yeah, poor timing. We didn't want to film over the holidays so the video didn't come out on the same day as the video Wink
  • 2 0
 A chainless revolution after all 12 speed derailleurs remain out of stock. A secondhand XT mech sold for 90 quid on eBay!
  • 2 0
 I predict more county and city parks will include a bike skills park in their plans. New skate parks are so pre-COVID.
  • 3 1
 I predict the launch of DA GRIM DONUT BIKE made in B.C with old hockey sticks glued together with/ maple syrup
  • 1 0
 I thought you will rationalise growth of onshore production by expected China's invasion on Taiwan.
(Note to myself: more shred, less politics)
  • 3 0
 Crystal balls are OK but chocolate salty balls are better.
  • 2 0
 @chuck-edward They only cost about tree fiddy
  • 2 0
 I predict your "Crystal Balls " will shatter unless your using a Gel saddle .
  • 1 0
 was levy trying to send us a morse code message with his blinks? mike- do u need help? blink once for no, and 73 times for yes.
  • 2 1
 New trek session will be a updated new version of their Session 10 high pivot & it will not look like a session.
  • 6 4
 I predict your mom's finally gonna go to college
  • 2 0
 "notaprediction"

Hoping that 2021 sucks a bit less than 2020!
  • 1 0
 I predict I won't get all of my backordered parts until far after I need them... ????
  • 1 0
 i predict ill buy a gearbox driven bike, build up an old Following frame, and get top 10 at BME Ironton.
  • 1 0
 mt perdiction for 2021 is dont break anything you wont be able to find parts
  • 1 0
 The secret of happiness: Companies stop. Stop making us crave for the last x, y or z.
  • 1 0
 SHIMANO DURA ACE ULTEGRA GOES TO 12SPEED DI2 WIRELESS MODE WKWKWKWK...........
  • 1 0
 Chainstay length will be a hot debate in 21, it will all be about "balance" between Chainstay length and increase reach.
  • 2 1
 Someone should make an electric wireless lockout for suspension.
  • 2 1
 I predict they will never give away the rest of the Advent prizes.
  • 1 0
 the demand for parts is off the friggin hook, especially 26ers
  • 1 0
 look into the crystal balls....... or schweddy balls
  • 1 1
 I predict the Grim Donut is, was, and always will be the greatest content ever to be seen on this website.
  • 1 0
 Man, this weed's damn good.
  • 1 0
 I predict that 150-160 cranks will be introduced in the MTB industry
  • 1 0
 I PREDICT A RIOT , I predict a riot !
  • 1 1
 I predict that Sram will recall their entire product line because everything they make is hot stinky garbage
  • 3 3
 Covid covid covid and hopefully some races
  • 7 9
 I think Downhill bikes will become very rare over the next couple years. they just dont make sense anymore.
  • 9 2
 Makes you wonder how much the sport will change tbh, DH racing to me is the most elite and exciting form of MTB. I really hope that this doesnt change but perhaps bikes do a little as they need to be able to sell what they ride etc.
  • 17 1
 Depends on where you live. Near lift bike park, they make great sense as to not beat the crap our of your trail/enduro rig.
  • 1 1
 @Imabigboy82: a few privateers have already been racing the DH WC on long travel enduro bikes
  • 5 0
 @Imabigboy82: i think dh racing can stay the same and get crazier as bikes change because they dont have to sell em anymore.
  • 5 0
 @Imabigboy82: Don't see a lot of people on 200cm long GS skis and 140 flex plug boots in the chairlift line either, here's hoping ski/bike are comparable business models in this regard
  • 3 0
 @bman33: +1, and easier on the body in these circumstances.
  • 4 0
 Don't make sense in the hurtin' ass place where you live perhaps...
  • 4 1
 @Assclapp:

apples to oranges dude. better comparison would be all mountain skis (~105mm) to powder skis (115+mm).

There is still VERY MUCH a need for both to exist
  • 5 1
 I love my DH bike and am sorry I waited so long to get a dedicated rig.
  • 8 8
 Dh bikes make sence if you have the terrain and skills for one. but ya if your pedelling around boring xc networks than probably not. Either way I will keep riding DH bikes and laughing at enduro clowns who think they know about things they don't ride
  • 6 2
 I mean, people have been saying that DH is the F1 of the biking world.. And just like luxury, expensive, sports cars, there will be a market and people will buy it. But DH will be mostly marketing for other types of MTB.
  • 7 1
 @riccardoleumann:

I live in a town with 75+ "downhill" tracks. The only mountain bike that I own is a DH bike. Sure, you can ride those tracks on an enduro bike, but you're not really optimized for the terrain if you choose to do so. It's like bringing out your 100mm all mountain skis on a 50cm powder day. Yes, you'll still slide down the still, but you won't be using the right tool for the job.

What you're saying may apply to most mtb locales around the world, but in certain places, DH bikes aren't fringe... They are simply the most fun & most appropriate way to navigate the trails.
  • 2 4
 @f00bar:
A lot of long travel enduro bikes are really dh bikes with single crown forks, and a little bit less travel.
  • 3 0
 They make perfect sense for lift assisted trails;
Same as dh skis, powder skis etc;

Does it cost money? Sure it does, so do ski’s;
Does it bring ultimate fun - yes, plowing down on dh bike is very unique joy
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