Once again, as usual as we begin a new year, the Pinkbike editors have chosen to look into that murky crystal ball to try to predict what we might see in the bike industry over the next 12 months.
We've been seeing more and more bike brands move away from traditional model years, which (in my personal opinion) is great. That means that bikes are updated according to the pace of geometry shifts and technology advancement, and all that stuff tends to move forward on a two or three-year cycle. (Though, of course, many bikes are re-released each year with fresh paint and are branded as "new.") Regardless, I've taken a look back at the bikes that were last updated in roughly 2018 or 2019 in an attempt to predict what might be coming our way this season.
Guessing what to expect from the bike industry right now is extra weird, considering we've been in a pandemic for nearly two years that has thrown the industry all kinds of wildcards, but brands have continued to release new bikes amid supply chain issues, so we do expect to see that continue, even as bikes remain in short supply.
Now, a reminder: Yes, some editors have knowledge of unreleased bikes. No, those bikes aren't on this list. If you'd like more information on how we deal with embargoed information, check out
Episode 51 of the Pinkbike Podcast. Note also that just because a bike isn't on this list doesn't mean that it's a bike I have embargoed information about. It's much more likely left off because this list is inexhaustive. There are plenty of bike brands out there releasing all kinds of bikes all the time, so clearly there will be lots of bikes coming out this year that aren't listed here. As my colleague James Smurthwaite
wrote a year ago, "The methodology was as simple as going back through our archives and going, 'Huh, haven't seen that updated in a while.'"
So, here you are: These are my "Huh, haven't seen that updated in a while" bikes for 2022.
Pivot Mach 5.5 & Phoenix 29Pivot has two bikes that haven't changed in a while. While I'd place my bets on the Mach 5.5 being the next one to be updated, the brand will likely have just as much, if not more, reason to update the Phoenix 29. The Mach 5.5 in its current iteration came out in 2017-2018, so it sports a 66.5-degree head angle and 460mm reach in size large, but what makes it seem most outdated is the 74.25-degree seat tube angle. Still, the Mach 5.5 is a 27.5" trail bike that isn't being raced like the Phoenix 29 is, which leads me to think the Phoenix may be higher on the priority list. The Phoenix 29 emerged in 2019 when Pivot put big wheels on its existing Phoenix DH, so it's about due for an update. All of that said, the Grim Donut encapsulates both the pedaling ability of a downhill bike and the descending ability of an outdated trail bike, so maybe the new Donut could replace both those models in Pivot's lineup?
Cannondale HabitLike some of the other brands on this list, Cannondale has focused its energy on its enduro and cross country offerings in the last couple of years, rather than what falls in between. With a new enduro team of Mitch Ropelato and Kera Linn and a growing cross-country presence that now includes Mona Mitterwallner, those race bikes make sense. Still, that mid-travel trail bike is going to need a refresh one of these days, and unless Cannondale has some surprises up its sleeve, I expect a new Habit to be next in Cannondale's pipeline.
GT Fury & SensorWhile the GT Fury looks plenty modern with its high pivot and 29" wheels, the current version was released in 2019, and with GT
ramping up its team again with some fresh up-and-comers on the downhill side of things, we'll very likely see an updated bike for those riders.
The other GT that hasn't changed in a while is the Sensor. While the enduro team has the new Force to play around on, GT will likely want to keep a shorter travel full suspension bike in its lineup, so we'll probably see a new Sensor one of these days to fill that gap.
Kona OperatorThe Kona Operator is a classic, and I bet it'll stay around for a while yet. The last time we saw a new Operator was in late 2018 with the release of the carbon Operator CR. The Operator isn't currently on Kona's site, and there's a possibility Kona just isn't going to make a downhill bike for the time being, but I'd place my bets on seeing a new one sooner rather than later. The brand has its heart and soul rooted in the Pacific Northwest, where gravity reigns supreme. Even without currently supporting a downhill team, we expect the brand to keep some downhill blood running through its veins.
Scott Genius & RansomWe included the Scott Genius on this list last year, but it still hasn't been updated, so we're holding out for a new one in 2022. To be fair, Scott has come out with some new and interesting designs since then - take the latest Scott Spark and its hidden shock, for instance - so the brand hasn't been slacking off. We expect to see some of those changes trickling into Scott's flagship trail bike next time it sees an update.
And while I expect Scott will update the Genius before the Ransom, we may well see another Ransom this year. Scott's 170mm travel enduro bike returned for 2019 with modern geometry that still holds water today, but with already-long and already-slack bikes becoming even longer and even slacker, it wouldn't be surprising to see the Ransom receive the same treatment. Plus, with the Scott SR Suntour team taking on EWS races aboard the Ransom, Scott has plenty of reason to keep it current.
Yeti SB100, SB130, & SB150Yeti went on a roll in 2018, launching the SB100, SB130, and SB150 bikes in a matter of months. The following year, Yeti unveiled the SB140 and SB165. Now, however, it's been a while since we've seen a new SBX bike. Could that mean that Yeti is preparing for a new naming scheme? I can't say for sure, of course, but I will point out that the new 160E doesn't contain those two letters in the name. Whatever they're called, Yeti will no doubt release updated versions of its full suspension mainstays - especially the SB150, as Yeti still has a prominent enduro team to field.
Santa Cruz Megatower, Hightower, & TallboySanta Cruz has been busy, but not with updating its trail bikes. In 2019, the California brand released its new Megatower, followed closely by the Hightower and Tallboy, which were both officially 2020 bikes. (I think... with model years these days coming almost a year early, who really knows?) Regardless, essentially the entire remainder Santa Cruz lineup has been updated since then, plus Santa Cruz has released new two eMTBs. Now, I wouldn't be surprised to see the brand turn toward its enduro bike again to keep it as modern as the new Blur and even the V10, which hasn't been fully updated but saw the release of a mixed-wheel version in 2020. Then, I'd expect to see a new Hightower and Tallboy.
Trek RemedyThe Trek Remedy is another one that was featured on this list last year, but has yet to see the update we're expecting. It seems brands have been focusing their efforts on the farther ends of the bike spectrum, updating their cross country, enduro, and downhill bikes before their middle-of-the-road, everyday trail bikes. After all, long travel bikes are climbing better than ever and short travel bikes are impressively capable these days. It's no surprise that, much like the American middle class, mid-travel bikes don't have quite the dominance they once had.
Specialized EnduroSure, it feels like just yesterday that the latest Enduro arrived, but somehow it's been more than two years since the 2020 Enduro's August 2019 announcement. Since Specialized is on a relatively quick update schedule compared to most other brands, we expect to see another iteration of the Enduro before the current one turns three. It's worth mentioning that the current version is plenty modern, with 170mm of travel front and rear and a 63.9 to 64.3-degree head angle, but this is the bike industry, and the quest for marginal gains is never over, meaning that Specialized's work isn't done yet.
Lapierre Zesty & SpicyIsabeau Courdurier absolutely crushed it in the 2021 EWS, and she did it on a bike that was last updated in 2019. The Lapierre Spicy fits both 27.5" and 29" wheels and shares a frame with the shorter-travel Zesty, only differentiated by different suspension parts. Both Isabeau Courdurier and Adrien Dailly have run various anglesets and custom shock links since at least 2020, and a half degree angleset comes stock on the Spicy for a 64.5 degree head angle in size small and 65 degree head angle for the rest of the size range. As that's a bit steep for a 170mm bike these days, we imagine the brand - which supports the 2021 EWS's #4-ranked team - will want to slacken things out.
I don’t plan to add ‘in-frame storage’ anytime soon, either… but I can still carry two water bottles.
Then the Enduro could really use a steeper STA and beefier headtube to prevent cracking (and while theyre at it they can add an adjustable headset like the SJ Evo).
They dont have to reinvent the wheel on them, but some minor updates to get them closer to perfect would be good.
This next set of bike geometry is going to be one of the more interesting ones simply because most manufacturers have hit or gone beyond the apex of longer, lower, slacker. Hell a Norco Sight trail bike from a few years ago was 63.5 and it was pretty damn long. I think they had size-specific chainstays too...so what angles end up changing on something like that now?? If anything it'll be a meniscal alteration for niche style of riding (kind of already is). I really think geometry should stabilize and bikes become somewhat specific for a style of riding from here out.
If Spec made Status with Enduro geo, Swatbox and rear end travel…
(Note, I don't recall testers saying the trailbike HTA's were absurd? Maybe I missed it?? Wasn't the Element the only DC bike that made the impossible climb?)
I've no idea about the frame flex, but there are threads/blogs/posts dedicated to riders not liking how much lateral flex they got, or having issues keeping hardware tight, etc. So it does seem like something Yeti might look into??
OH I know, ADJUSTABLE frame FLEX... the next big thing!
Regarding the CS length on the SB150 - mine is large and I'm just below 6' with long legs. I'm curious to how it will work out but I'm not that sceptic. The length and suspension will make the bike stable and the chainstays may offer a bit of designed instability to throw the bike around easier if necessary. I'm also shit at manuals so that's a bonus point. Because of my long legs my weight will be more forward anyways so I don't think I will have issues weighting the front wheel. I also won't be running tons of spacers and my stem isn't that short with 42mm, which also helps with front end traction.
I feel the same way about my Top Fuel. The newer model is of zero interest to me.
Nobody has figured out life. Nobody figured out MTB and perfect setup. The best bike yet is not coming. The best bike out there for everybody has never existed and will never exist.
I wish people rode more with completely different people. Swinged around different peer groups. It would show them insignificance of their obsessions over details. The problem of Pinkbike like any other big outlet is that it puts together folks of so many backgrounds that our drive to consensus is working against us.
Enjoy. I am sticking to alloy frames for the time being…
But the only people who could testify on failure rates would be folks at Warranty depts AND experienced bike mechanics who worked in the biz for many years. Report of the first group will never happen. Bike mechanics are not so keen on reporting either as they would face charges from bike companies.
Personally I would prefer an alloy one just for peace of mind. Also the cost savings are more significant than the performance deficit.
Giant's models are like a cruel zero sum game. Updated geometry? Now you can't run it in 650b and you have to pay ~5k for a carbon model with good parts. Yuck
The Stand over is deceiving, i've owned alot of bikes in the last 2 years and this probably has the most stand over clearance.
my ONLY gripe with it is the low stack height, but i am using oneup 35mm rise bars and fit is perfect now.
Gonna have to send me a link. The X models are only available in 29 (here in the US at least). They only have base model in 27.5 and then the carbon version (basically mandatory if you want solid parts out the box). Even though the base trance is one of the better base specs still, i want it to be honest.
Also, another issue with the X models is the cheapest model comes with sram SX. They need to use Deore for the 2022 version. The SLX/Fox version looks awesome, but still a shame it's no longer in 27.5, after so many years of their incredibly successful aluminum fox/SLX model. I'm gonna pick one of those up.
Sad to see 27.5ers slowly fading away. I hope the mullet trend becomes more about a bike that can do both trend as opposed to outright mullet enduro/DH rigs. That's why I want to get an older Trance with fox slx and 27.5 wheels. Will probably feel nice n tidy on jumps and tight tracks, but is steep enough to take a 29 wheel and fork to become a mulleted all mountain rig.
Basically have a cross platform glory/reign at this point that can be up to 200 for DH with longer stroke shock. f*ck it.
Reigns always feel like they have more travel when setup correctly but what they lack is balance f/r - they also climb like ass for whatever reason as its not the suspension platform.
Just remember Alot of EWS riders are on bikes with 150mm.
The maestro Platform actually works really well its just the rest of the design hasnt suited it, they've got it super close on the Trance X 27.5
I have the New patrol with a super short post length and i have my 210 oneup lifted WAY out and it creaks because theres just not enough in the bike... might be ok for a short person.
Just like to point out that many people dont have their saddle height set correct ie they are too low.
im not trying to defend giant as they have shocking bikes like the 29er trance X, like why make it so close but then suddenly decide to mess everything by a little bit but pointing out the seat tube length argument isnt correct due to most not even setting saddle high enough in the first place.
So Giant would have to eat the cost of changing that frame and keep it the same price, otherwise people wouldn't buy the Stance. Meanwhile they sell them like hotcakes and people list them for sale in under a year. Sadly I just don't imagine them changing it due to the Trance models. And similarly, Giant will say things like 'we arent updating the Trance frame because people who want all mountain trail can use their enduro type Reign models'. Like they've actually said that to Pinkbike during a review lol. So that's how they think of things. It's a zero sum game in regards to model pricing.
I'm SUPER glad Giant still does 27.5, that wheel is dying with most other brands. Especially for 6 foot people and above
Will keep the money safe for if/when the bike explodes....
It's needed.
And also the Strive because is an old dog with old geo anche the competitors are years forward..
I get that it’s a keeping up with the Jones’s situation, but as a purebred enduro race bike, an extra 15mm or so of travel would be awesome.
* List a bunch of bike manufacturers.
* Pick a bike or 2 from each
* Look up their geos/specs
* Pick a spec and claim it's no good anymore
* Done
Gold comment
I can't believe the Canyon Strive didn't make the list, it's more ready for a complete overhaul than anything.
Large gap in travel between the FEX and Slash, and the Top Fuel has a lot more travel now that it's a "downcountry bike" instead of an XC racer.
A lot of them are good for people down to 6'1-6'2.
And beyond that, if you're talking about steel or aluminum it's just a matter or cutting the tubes a few mm longer. It's the carbon bikes that are the larger investment.
There's some big people out there riding bikes. Hell, Santa Cruz built a bike for Reggie Miller.
My brain was thinking XL to be perfectly honest.
But XXL... Suppose some folks might like it.
Specialized S5's are just fine for riders that are that tall but I suppose that's more like an XL.5. Not a traditional XXL. GG's Size 4 another bike in that fitment and I think they go down to 6'2 or 6'3.
Either way... point was that there's people out there looking for XL/XXL bikes. Some big ass people in this world. LOL!
Whatever. Just keep what ya got. The industry is always trying to sell you the "new and improved!" widget.
Update garbage geometry: deploy update
Now comes with a hat: deploy update
Even more if we exit this pandemy, and bike brands remove their "Covid additional cost" that they imputed on every single bike
Are we destined to meet an end like Bobby and Whitney ?
Or is all this crack talk just part of the war on specialized?
I'm also just not onboard with all these high-travel enduro sleds. The 90% of us dont need or will ever fully use the potential of a 180mm Fox 38/Zeb and coil shocks for our daily drivers. To me that sounds like a park bike also. How well are they really getting back up to the top of the hill or pedaling for half to full day all mountain rides? That said, the short travel 130mm travel bikes aren't always enough either for when your local trails have some gnarlier lines and hits. That's why I'm a big fan of the mid 150-160 travel bikes but they seems to be dying out too. To me those are the true do-it-all bikes.
no please... I already spent too much money on bike, I cant take another mortgage.
And no in-frame storage.
I'd still absolutely have at that thing as an all mountain bike, for sure, but I'd probably just get a Trance and mullet the front end instead.
Super boost for shits and giggles.
you should demo the Ripley and take it down the gnarliest stuff you ride and see if you're happy with it