IOC Official Comments on Potential Impacts of Coronavirus on 2020 Tokyo Olympics
Teams from countries all over the world are set to compete in Tokyo in July but that could be jeopardized if the Coronavirus is not contained in the next couple months.
As reported on Tuesday by AP News in an exclusive interview with Dick Pound, a senior member of the International Olympic Committee, the IOC has to make a decision in the next two or three months on whether it can hold the Olympics in Tokyo this summer in light of the coronavirus outbreak. This means that the decision would likely come in late May. “In and around that time, I’d say folks are going to have to ask: "Is this under sufficient control that we can be confident about going to Tokyo or not?’” Pound told The Associated Press.
Pound said that organizers are more likely to cancel the Games altogether, rather than postpone or move them if coronavirus isn't under control. Pound told the AP, “You just don’t postpone something on the size and scale of the Olympics. There’s so many moving parts, so many countries and different seasons, and competitive seasons, and television seasons. You can’t just say, 'We’ll do it in October’ and because there are few places in the world that could think of gearing up facilities in that short time to put something on.”
As the Games draw near, Pound said, “a lot of things have to start happening. You’ve got to start ramping up your security, your food, the Olympic Village, the hotels. The media folks will be in there building their studios.”
If the IOC decides the Olympic Games cannot go forward as scheduled in Tokyo, “you’re probably looking at a cancellation."
The opening ceremony is scheduled for July 24, 2020 and around 11,000 athletes plus many more fans and support staff are scheduled to attend. According to the AP article, Pound encouraged athletes to keep training saying, "As far as we all know, you’re going to be in Tokyo. All indications are at this stage that it will be business as usual. So keep focused on your sport and be sure that the IOC is not going to send you into a pandemic situation.”
Pound says that the IOC is relying on consultations with the World Health Organization to make any move.
Covid-19, 2019-nCoV or the 2019 novel coronavirus, affects the respiratory system. Coronavirus actually refers to the group of viruses that this new strain belongs to, along with the common cold, flu, SARS and MERS. We reported on impacts the virus may have to the bike industry less than two weeks ago after the announcement that the Taipei Bike Show had been postponed, citing that some production and manufacturing delays, along with other supply chain disruptions within the bike industry were almost certain.
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...I know a Rusty Glasscock
Not bad huh?
He even has a wiki: en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Tiny_Kox
In school I knew a guy named Bill Ball. His mother's maiden name was Cox. She thought it was hilarious, so on her wedding invitation they announced, "come to the union of the Cox and Ball's" or something to that effect.
On a lighter note. A Lad at school was call Dick Shakeshaft, if him and Dick Pound got together things could get quite messy.
When I was in late high school (mid-80's) there was a first year kid named Mike Hunt. By impersonating the kid's dad with a phone call to the school office feigning a family emergency someone tricked a rookie staffer, a few days into her first real job, to call out over the PA system, "Mike Hunt to the principal's office please, Mike Hunt to the principal's office". At lunchtime the first period gym class kids said they heard the collective laughter from outside on the soccer field.
I also went to school with a girl named Sally Goodhand.
And then I told them his nickname: “The Big Unit.” I think they pissed themselves. Took a good 10 minutes for them to recover — only for someone to say “Randy Johnson” or “The Big Unit,” a few minutes later. It was the least productive engineering meeting I’ve ever had =P
Average fatality rate of flu in usa is 0.01%
Current death rate of Covid19 is about 2%. But probably 1% if undignosed and asymtomatic cases are accounted for.
In a full blown pandemic 80% of population will be infected. Killing upto 50million people.
@jayacheess:
Oh no, wait a minute, I forgot...
That is all the interweb has become, a maelstrom of misinformation.
If you want to go a little deeper (and by that I mean basic research), try this: www.history.com/topics/world-war-i/1918-flu-pandemic
Secondly, we don't yet have a full picture of what mortality rate will be like for developed countries.
I'm admittedly ignorant when it comes to this, but I saw figures that calculate to 10%.
They took the total number of number of deaths/resolved cases . Seems like the right way to calculate it to me.
CFR = deaths / (deaths + recovered)
which, with the latest data available, would be equal to:
2,712 / (2,712 + 28,044) = 9% CFR (worldwide)
If we now exclude cases in mainland China, using current data on deaths and recovered cases, we get:
48 / (48 + 302) = 13.7% CFR (outside of mainland China)
The calculations that are giving low numbers are including current patients, but you don't know their outcome, so it seems incorrect to count them until they recovery or die.
80% came from tv(must be true)
1% also from Tv
Great reference below about death rates
www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/coronavirus-death-rate/#correct
@jayacheess:
You were more committed to the discussion than I was.
At least its not as deadly as Sars which had50% mortality rate
@TheOriginalTwoTone:
www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/coronavirus-death-rate/#correct
Or do you want to loose your grandmother before time?
One fatality out of one hundred ain’t great, but it also ain’t that bad ... unless you’re the one.
www.japantimes.co.jp/news/2019/12/06/national/japan-1-trillion-olympics-audit/#.XlX1tahKiUk
www.scmp.com/news/china/society/article/3052402/coronavirus-spreads-europe-china-cases-fall-406-new-infections
That's 1 trillion Yen
1 Yen = 0.0091 United States Dollar at current rate.
1 Yen = 0.0070 Pound Sterling
1 Yen = 0.012 Canadian Dollar
I showed how people are coming up with the 10%, show us how you come up with 1%
If he says there is a problem with Japans turn I would believe him -
And then I told them his nickname: “The Big Unit.” I think they pissed themselves. Took a good 10 minutes for them to recover — only for someone to say “Randy Johnson” or “The Big Unit,” a few minutes later. It was the least productive engineering meeting I’ve ever had =P
www.health.harvard.edu/blog/the-new-coronavirus-what-we-do-and-dont-know-2020012518747
And are you suggesting it's futile to quarantine sick people? Because an extensive history of medical anamolies begs to differ.
literally nothing in there about it being in a building, because it's the act of segregating sick people from the healthy. So if you make sure that nobody but healthy virus-free participants are allowed access to the race, you are effectively creating a quarantined race.
Sorry that is so hard for you to grasp, champ.
There is a reason that wasn't presented as an option above. It is not feasible. You don't think the Olympic committee, whose one job is to make this event go off correctly, wouldn't have thought of all the options and ruled out the ones that couldn't happen? They just said "oh well, there is a virus so cancel the damn thing, even though Japan and the world have been planning, building, and getting ready for this thing for years"
Ya screening everyone would be a huge undertaking considering the dormant nature of the virus, but you're acting like an organization that performs probably the greatest amount of physical testing is incapable checking athletes.
Granted the pandemic might take off exponentially at such a rate that the risk of infection is too high to chance, but you're just spouting off nonsense about the virus traveling for miles and having no idea what a quarantine is as you think it needs to be indoors. lol
www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2007/05/070515100204.htm
www.surgicallycleanair.com/how-far-do-airborne-pathogens-travel
www.surgicallycleanair.com/how-far-do-airborne-pathogens-travel
No, that's not true. The common flu has a case mortality rate of less than .10% whereas the latest data point to a case mortality rate for covid-19 at about 3.5%
So more than triple the rate of the common flu.
Then... panic. Just panic. Look at Italy. Individualistic society like Spain, Greece or Slavic Countries. People take matters in their own hands you see... because government is bad. Particularly National Health Care cannot be trusted I am told. Let them run around a bit and they may find old uniforms and look for Asians to burn them.
Are you suggesting we ignore it and just see how things go?
The flu KILLS 60,000 a year in the US...people get the flu vaccination which actually makes some people sick and some even die from it. But let's go into freak out mode because something with a new name is being yelled at us and we believe it's the end of the world. Oh yeah...don't forget your little paper mask...because paper masks will save you from everything!(Wait...maybe these are all made up illnesses by the paper mask lobby to spike sales so the paper mask companies can make big profits and take over the world)