Powered by Outside

Pinkbike's 2021 Predictions

Dec 27, 2020 at 12:49
by Mike Levy  

The end of 2020 means that it's time for us to make some questionable predictions for the coming year that may or may not pan out. Below, the Pinkbike editors look into their crystal balls, read the tea leaves, or maybe just take a wild guess at what 2021 might hold.

What do you think - are we out to lunch, or do any of our predictions make sense?

Mike Kazimer's Predictions

1. More mullets and fewer 27.5” bikes. I’d imagine we won’t see that many dedicated 27.5” bikes released in 2021. There will be plenty of bikes launched with 29" wheels front and rear, but we'll also see more mixed wheel size bikes hit the market running a 29" / 27.5" combo. That smaller rear wheel helps give shorter riders more butt to tire clearance, and lets marketers keep using the word 'playful' in their ad copy, while the bigger front wheel allows for better rollover and traction.
Managing Tech Editor

2. Updated Shimano Saint group. Shimano updated XTR, XT, SLX, and Deore over the last couple of years, which means Saint is up next. Hopefully. We saw a prototype derailleur floating around at the tail end of the World Cup DH season, so something is clearly in the works.

Will it be a DH-only groupset, designed around a 7-speed cassette, or will there be options for riders who want to run a wider gearing range? Only time will tell.

3. New Trek Session. There have been rumblings about a new Session in the works, and considering the current version last received an update over three years ago, the timing makes sense. I'd imagine it would get a little longer - the reach on an XL is only 461mm - but will we see more than just the geo get tweaked? Maybe a design that doesn't look like a Session?

Trek Session 9.9 Review - title image
Trek's Session downhill bike has evolved massively over the years, but could we see something drastically different from the US brand in 2021?

4. Declining DH bike sales. Speaking of downhill bikes, riding one is about as fun as it gets, and we're planning on reviewing a whole bunch of them once the lifts open back up for bikes in 2021. But when it comes to justifying owning one, that's harder than ever, especially for riders that don't have any plans of racing. Today's enduro bikes can get riders safely down most tracks, and still be pedaled around on the days the shuttle truck is out of gas and the lifts aren't running.

There's also the fact that we're seeing more riders start peeking over into the electric world, and I have a feeling that those burly eMTBs are cannibalizing some potential DH bike sales.

Brian Park's Predictions

1. I'm still feeling pretty confident that bike sales will stay strong through 2021. Between the boom of individualist sports and some pent up demand, I see availability issues continuing through at least Q1 and Q2. I don't think we'll hear the word "closeout" until the fall of 2022.

I also think small, domestic, on-demand manufacturers will grow this coming year thanks to all the shortages through traditional overseas channels.
Photo by Margus Riga
Head of Editorial

2. Towards the end of 2021, I suspect we'll see some more innovation and new stuff. Everyone was focused on production and smoothing disruption in 2020.

3. SRAM will answer back. For quite a few years SRAM enjoyed entry-level drivetrain supremacy on the OE side, but this year Shimano's Deore and SLX have changed all that. It's unlikely that SRAM will let Shimano eat their lunch like this for long, and I'm sure they've been working hard on things. AXS was launched nearly two years ago, so it seems a safe bet that they've been working to drop that technology into their lower-priced offerings. We took a look at their cable-pulling wireless patent last month, but that seems like a stop-gap at best—maybe a cheap way to extend wireless down to the NX level without having to redo the whole drivetrain.

To truly take advantage of the AXS system, it'll require a redesign of the existing lineup and I'm predicting we'll see it at least down to the GX level in 2021. Then again, I thought that AXS suspension would land this year, so my track record in predicting SRAM is not great. Oh, and speaking of SRAM, is 2021 the year they take advantage of UDH?

4. Racing will not proceed as it's scheduled today, and at least a few of the tradeshows currently on the calendar will get postponed or canceled. Not exactly the boldest prediction, I know. So here's one— at least one tradeshow organization will run into financial trouble in 2021.

Full-gas canonball mode for one of the tallest in the game and straight into the hot seat with just one man left on the mountain.
We don't expect racing to go ahead as planned in 2021, but don't bet against Greg Minnaar no matter what happens. The GOAT is 39 now, but his win at last year's Lousa World Cup double-header put his total at a hardly believable 22 victories.

5. A lot of marketing is going to be lame in 2021. Everyone is selling everything they have right now, so product marketing and sports marketing will be down next year. The smart brands know they need to set themselves up for the long-term while there's money flowing into the sport, so they'll spend on R&D and brand marketing instead. But while the best brands will lift and inspire all the new riders who are taking up the sport to take them from fans of MTB to actual mountain bikers, the vast majority will go "okay, non-endemic audience equals condescending, over-the-top messaging—we know how to do that."

There will be a lot of feel-good stuff and lots of B-level trail bike "films" with grandiose voiceovers, while the most talented riders in the sport will struggle to get support for more ambitious projects. More really good riders will be forced to vlog about their parts sponsors.

6. Aaron Gwin gets back on the pointy end of the podium in 2021.

7. Slopestyle competitions will continue their slide into irrelevance. It's bittersweet, but did anyone miss them this year? To be honest, I think this one is a good thing because we should get more Matt MacDuff videos and Semenuk-style videos from the hugely talented crop of slopestyle riders instead. At our core, all we really want to see out of slopestyle is cool shit on bikes, and the competition aspect of slopestyle was always largely spectacle anyway. This way we can see creative stuff, on more creative courses, from riders who may or may not thrive under the pressure of competition.

Matt Wragg's Predictions

1. The Pandemic will change sponsorship deals. I know of at least one high profile downhiller that prefers to let his racing do the talking but who has found himself with a more exciting off-season than he hoped for. In these troubled times, it's a question of value. Without races for him to win this year, his usual output simply wasn’t enough to justify his racing salary, and facing a potentially troubled 2021 that left the brand staring down the barrel of a second year of massive investment with potentially little return.
Valberg France. Photo by Matt Wragg
Pinkbike Contributor

This is a trend that has been increasing in recent years; there are very few riders who can get away with just being pure racers, and it goes back to that ole selling bikes nuts again. Brands are looking for riders who can help them sell bikes away from the racetrack and a year without much racing will have helped sharpen their focus on who is giving them bang for their bucks, and who isn’t.

Outside cycling, Tracksmith maybe showed the way. They took on two new athletes this year, Mary Cain and Nick Willis, but rather than put them on standard athlete contracts they were taken on as employees with well-defined remits for the company. Yes, they will have time and space to continue to compete at a high level, but regardless of what happens on the track, their value to the company will be unequivocal and I think that kind of guaranteed return on investment will start to look more and more attractive.

EWS E-MTB Test Event
How will e-bikes change the future of racing?

2. We'll see more e-bikes in 2021, with this winter feeling like a watershed moment for them. If you follow social media, surely you'll have seen more and more racers and riders embracing the eebs (I think I’m too old to say that word in public) and breaking down the stigma attached to them. Many riders who were skeptical a few years ago are letting go of the “it’s cheating” nonsense and admitting that regardless of how you want to classify an e-bike, that they’re fun as shit. I think seeing a rider like Kade Edwards describing it as his favourite bike is incredibly powerful, and it’s hard to see all those “he’s only saying that because he needs a paycheck” arguments lodged against him. Of course, more e-bikes getting sold will only exacerbate the sales disparity between e-bikes and regular bikes, but if we’re having fun, who cares?

Mike Levy's Predictions

1. Wheels will continue to be round in 2021, and your current mountain bike will continue to work just fine. Actually, better than fine if it was made within the last couple of years... This is handy because we'll also still see a relatively limited number of new bikes being available on showroom floors thanks to the pandemic messing with production cycles. And with the far (and near) future uncertain in a way that no one understands, it's a very scary time to be making the kinds of business decisions that could boom or bust a brand.
Senior Tech Editor

I suspect there will be plenty of well-founded caution when it comes to orders and manufacturing from Asia, which means fewer of the normal options consumers are used to seeing on showroom floors.

That'll cause two things to happen to bike sales in 2021. First, the PB Buy & Sell will continue to be on fire; it's a seller's market for anything with two wheels, decent suspension, and modern geometry, even if it's a season or two old. Secondly, if Giant, Specialized, Trek, or any other large companies can't fill your local shop's need to sell bikes, I foresee smaller, versatile brands with more flexible manufacturing schedules (and therefore bikes available to sell) to swoop in.

2. Onshore manufacturing will slowly grow, spurred on by consumer demand and the inflexibility of traditional production and shipping. Here's the thing: we'll always value our outside time, no matter how we choose to spend it, and it seems like current events have only reminded everyone of that. In other words, the sport is growing, pandemic or not. Riders new and old are looking for bikes but all we're hearing is that ''It'll be at least a few more months...''

With all the unpredictability of the past year, I suspect that a few small to mid-sized brands were looking into onshore manufacturing many months ago. If it works cost-wise, that'd provide them with more control of their products and timelines in an uncertain future. Not only that, forward-thinking manufacturing methods could reduce some of the costs usually associated with onshore production. Okay, maybe a bit optimistic, but who knows?

Shimano XT Di2 drivetrain review test
Shimano's Di2 system was released was back in 2014 and offers faultless reliability and performance once you have it set up. Here's hoping the next version does away with the tangle of wires.

Shimano responds. But so does SRAM. Confusing, I know, but let me lay it out as I see it. SRAM's wireless AXS stuff has made Shimano's wired Di2 drivetrain look a bit Tandy TRS 80 versus iPhone 27. Then again, Di2 was already five years old when AXS came out in 2019, so I wouldn't be surprised if Japan debuted a new battery-powered drivetrain of their own to go up against it. Hopefully it doesn't have any annoying cables.

If you've read any review of any new Shimano drivetrain, you might know that it lets you shift under pedaling loads like an absolute meathead. That means a bit less thinking and a bit more power to the ground, and it's thanks to that Hyperglide+ stuff, which is essentially just how the chainplates and cassette teeth are shaped and how they mesh together. Shimano first put it to use on their latest XTR stuff, of course, but you'll also find it on their no-brainer, do everything, bargain of the year drivetrain, otherwise known as Deore, and it's shaded SRAM's entry-level options. But that's how this works; someone makes something better, and then someone else makes something betterer than that. I think we'll see SRAM be that someone in the future.

Categorizing bikes become even more pointless, but we'll still try to do it in 2021. The niches of our sport will always require niche machinery - downhill, cross-country race, fat bikes, and so on aren't going anywhere - but slotting them into orderly categories is a bit pedantic given how well rounded the modern ''mountain bike'' is becoming. I mean, what else do you call the Norco Optic, Ibis Mojo, Stumpy EVO and REGMO, Giant's Trance X, and many others? As my buddy Alan pointed out, everything's a mountain bike now.

This makes me feel a bit silly every time I categorize a bike I'm reviewing, but that's how we need to do it sometimes, especially when talking comparisons. Putting bikes into categories makes them easier for us to talk about and judge; just imagine how confusing the sales floor would be if you rang up your LBS looking for a new ride and the sales guys replied with, ''You looking for a Demo or a Supercaliber?'' So yeah, sometimes it makes sense to call something a something.

What else will we see in the coming year? If there ends up being a race season in 2021, the greatest male downhiller of all time, Greg Minnaar, will win his 23rd (and maybe 24th?) World Cup. My local shop tells me they sell more high-end e-bikes than they do high-end mountain bikes, and that gap will continue to grow regardless of how you or I feel about battery-powered bicycles. Tradeshows in 2021? Definitely not in North America, but maybe in Europe. Pinkbike in 2021? Last year was stuffed full of Field Tests, the Pinkbike Academy, Explainers videos, The Privateer, and a bunch of original content, but expect that to expand even further over the next twelve months.

While we're all hoping that the coming twelve months is brighter and safer for everyone than the previous year, it'd be foolish to say that the wider future is anything but unstable. Zooming in on our little sport, the Pinkbike crystal ball is showing hazy images of more e-bikes but fewer downhill bikes, a calendar of World Cup racing that's in question, and empty shop floors but very busy trails.

What do you think is in store for mountain biking in 2021?

Author Info:
mikelevy avatar

Member since Oct 18, 2005
2,032 articles

  • 278 2
 Shoutout to Kazimer for the most predictable predictions of all time! Way to play it safe Kaz Wink
  • 485 7
 Oops, I forgot to add an important one - I predict I crush you during our Mike vs Mike enduro race this summer.
  • 104 0
 I might be mistaken, but I remember someone predicting the wheels still being round this year.
  • 56 1
 @mikekazimer: Mike vs Mike on redbull tv with live feed Wink
Biggest race of the year
  • 19 1
 @mikekazimer: already crushing him in the upvotes.
  • 11 0
 @enduroFactory: And both Mike and Mike know that Evan would whip them on the trails .....
  • 13 0
 @YanDoroshenko: they will stay round but go oval to smooth out the dead spots in the trail.
  • 1 0
 @mikekazimer: bah ha! I’m so looking forward to hearing the results on this.
  • 2 0
  • 1 0
 Accidental button mash.
  • 6 0
 @OldDert: I had e*13 wheels with this technology.
  • 1 0
 shoutout to you pussycat ! i love you
  • 3 22
flag aljoburr FL (Jan 1, 2021 at 14:32) (Below Threshold)
 @mikekazimer: No comment on this pesky Virus & bring to justice the psychopaths that are responsible?
  • 2 0
 @YanDoroshenko: you were ahead of the curve, 0mm of vertical dish offset is so 2020!
  • 10 0
 @mikekazimer: both on the Grim Donut?
  • 1 0
 @mikekazimer: how is that going to happen with the border closed?, but would be cool!
  • 4 0
 I predict I'll still have the same bike unless I stumble upon a bag full of cash and go straight to a LBC.
  • 4 0
 @YanDoroshenko: the new " Knobby Slick " tires will hit the market this year .
180 degrees of knobs and 180 degree of slick.
  • 2 0
 @mikekazimer: @mikelevy It's been my lifes work to crush Levy. Fingers crossed for 2021
  • 4 0
 @MarkA: I'm pretty sure I tore your legs off the last time we did a bunch of riding together in 2016. No need to re-do LOL
  • 1 0
 @mikelevy : @mikekazimer : @MarkA : I'm happy to teach you boys a thing or two about fitness. My prediction... 1. Wang 2. Kaz 3. Don 4. Levy
  • 193 80
 Fuck e-bikes. Ya, I said it.
  • 74 1
 Don't forget to unplug before... well you know, electricity and moisture, see?
  • 3 1
  • 1 1
 @vinay: that made LOL. good one even if....
  • 103 26
 One thing that cycling has taught me is that if you can achieve something without a struggle, it’s not going to be satisfying.
-Greg Lamond

Riding a low-power dirtbike isn’t about cheating anyone else.. it’s about cheating yourself. @mattwragg
  • 27 12
 The problem with ebikes imo is that they are driving the innovation in regards of components. I chuckle when I see a 170 pound rider, riding a 38 or Zeb. Let's be honest, those were made for e-bikes. Call me old fashioned but I still want my pedal bike to be as stiff as possible but still light. If ebikes are driving the component market we are f*caked
  • 31 93
flag RowdyAirTime (Jan 1, 2021 at 9:24) (Below Threshold)
 Bummer, did an ebike speed pass you again...Maybe just move over and pretend it never happened instead of saying fucking ebikes everytime they pass...lol
  • 21 15
 @RowdyAirTime: you're a bright one, aren't you?
  • 7 44
flag RowdyAirTime (Jan 1, 2021 at 9:49) (Below Threshold)
 @eugenux: Yup, aren't you???
  • 32 13
 @g123: i feel the same way but you can still struggle with ebikes, it will just be on another scale of uphill and downhill speed and grip.

But humans always want more, more more and I don't want mtb to become too much of a technical jerkoff.
Also, if hikers, runners and horse riders dont need a motor then why do mtbers? Makes thing shitty for trail access. Also, mtb doesnt have to always be some sort of adrenaline rush, which is what ebiking is enhancing
  • 22 5
 @housem8d: Is horse riding a human powered sport now ? Relying on the submission of an animal to go around if even worse than using a battery or 2 stroke mix if you ask me but hey "it's natural" ...
  • 11 3
 @pipomax: as a 220#+ rider, my view is that this finally gives me a choice of reasonably priced components that don't feel like they're made out of Swiss cheese...
  • 16 1
 @g123: even more satisfying is overtaking said ebikes on your climbs.

I use the following mantra when riding to push myself to go faster: ‘ride like you have an emtb on your trail’
  • 17 12
 @housem8d: It's enhancing the distances you can go and the fun you can have. It's not about going faster, they are limited to 25mph as far as I know. The light e-bikes like the SL are a blast and they don't hurt the trails anymore than a regular bike. I don't understand that one.
  • 12 13
 @zarban: you are deluding yourself thinking that every bike will stay limited, especially since tunning them is so easy. In fact, most of the guys I know who have one, they have them working up to 50 km/h and use them to climb moto trails or hills at speed. The good thing is, our mtb movement is pretty xc focused so, the trails(most of them natural) are pretty quiet and the number of ppl on them pretty sparced; but, I don't quite fancy the ideea of someone on a electric, riding up-hill with 30-35-40 km/h, when I come down the hill with 30-35-40-etc km/h.
  • 21 2
 @Balgaroth: most people agree that sharing trails with horses is the worst.
  • 6 4
 @eugenux: Maybe in Europe but I have no such experience where I live. I can see the dislike for people that are tuning them and going that fast on your trails but for the normal e-bike rider (at least here) there are no such issues (that I've seen and I ride almost everyday). There are rules for them and if people are breaking these rules it ruins it for everyone. I finally pulled the trigger on an SL but I also have two other bikes, I mainly use it on solo rides and when I want to , I'm also exited to use it after this long winter for getting back into biking shape. If rules are being followed and if some of these trails made exceptions for the lower power e-bikes than everybody could ride in peace and harmony.
I've also heard that tuning them to those speeds have legal repercussions in some European countries? I also find it hard to believe that there are troves of ebikes flying around at 40km.
  • 9 2
Legal repercussion, yes..in theory. In practice, in 99.9999% of cases, no one gets caught. Do you think mountain police or police have nothing better to do then follow cyclists to see which one tunned up their electric bike?
And we are at the edge of Europe(EU); minor braking the rules or the law is a national sport. Then again, when ppl don't respect the law in the Dolomites, what claims one can make for the rule of law in the Carpathians were e-bikes are the last of the problems. The authorities barely notify themselves for poaching, 4x4 off-road riding(I even encounter such a convoy on a bike specific trail, barely stopping without getting on the first car's hood), moto riding on national parks and foot-trails and the locals couldn't care less as they are money to be made from this type of tourists that come and do things that aren't allowed in their countries. And the local authorities, pretend to no see this type of activities. And, if they don't care about this type of activities that brake the law, they for sure don't even register on their radars that a group of guys on big powerfull electrics might have them tunned, as they fly up-the-hill too fast for the speed limit on these bikes.
In only one case, from what I know, the police acknowledged that the owner of an e-bike have had it tunned but, he was already dead(he was going with 50 km/h, in the capital city's biggest boulevards, when he accidentally hit the kerb and that projected him head first in a concrete pole) so, nothing actually happened. I'm telling you, no authorities care about this; not in UK, where you can see Rob Warner bragging on gmbn channel on how fast he is going to the pub on his (mountain)e-bike(35 or 40 miles per hour, I don't remember exactly), when in Dolomites, e-bike riders think the foot and natural trails are their own property and ride their electrics like they've stole them, disregarding hikers and other trail users or in my country where authorities don't even compute that such offenses exists.
Maybe in US, people tend to be more fearfull about this type of situations but, as they aren't any general and simple ways of checking ones e-bike for tunning, the situation can become rapidly as it is here.
And congraz for your SL. I'm considering an Orbea Rise but, as they are sold out for 2021, I do plan to wait and see what new lightweight models from other brands will appear this year. Cheers!
  • 18 5
 One of the worst things about e-bikes is that they're getting riders into the sport who have no place being there. Most of us who started on regular bikes gradually increased our riding distances and, in doing so, learned proper trail etiquette, and a respect for what other people had created for us to use. E-bikers are getting out there for long rides right off the bat, and have no concept of getting along with other trail users, or respecting the trails. Just yesterday, I saw some old dude get on his e-bike, crank once, the bike took off, and he immediately almost ran into another rider head-on. No apology was made. They just make it too easy for people who haven't learned the "rules."
  • 5 5
 the under seventy crowd has spoken .
You WILL , get an e bike at some point when your body refuses to take instructions from your mind . ????
  • 5 2
 @skelldify: sorry bud, but that reasoning is pure bull!
The first and final point is the attitude of the rider, with or without motor. A butthole has been one without bike. Observe the manners of some of the „cool“ crowd at Whistler, Saalbach or wherever. If you put your bias aside,you will see stupidity in equal percentages on all sides of the isle.
As an added thought (yeah, I am old!):
Since the mid-eighties there have been those that saw looming the end of the (mtbiking) world when new inventions were made. The end never came and will not come - I guarantee!
  • 4 8
flag GeneralGroovus (Jan 3, 2021 at 8:03) (Below Threshold)
 @davidvonslingshot your angst is hilarious. Just go buy one already. A Mullet version too. You're welcome.
  • 6 6
 @GeneralGroovus: there is a bowl full of dicks with your name on it. You're welcome.
  • 3 6
 @davidvonslingshot: Sorry, missed your post - was out on the ebike. Thanks, but you can keep them. Sounds like you need some Luv'n and some time off the Peloton doing the Rideau Canal Loop.
I'm waiting for the E version of the Peloton before I buy one.
  • 2 3
 @g123: Guess you missed that Chris Akrigg eMtb vid PB dropped a few months ago...
  • 4 1
 @GeneralGroovus: ahahahaha; are you a child?, 99.99% can't do anything like that, riding off-trails is bad for nature and you are deluding yourself if you think that was one battery charge and filmed in one take. I mean, it means you are a child that swallows everthing marketing teams gives you to swallow(and that's sad).
  • 2 2
 @GeneralGroovus: why should someone buy an ebike just because you say so , when your sensors , wiring , motor breaks and your moped is in the shop being fixed because you can’t touch it as it’s voids the warranty , I will be out riding , not kidding myself I am now cooler than I was because I now have an ebike!
  • 84 3
 Not surprising to hear high end e-bikes outsell high end normal bikes. People with a ton of money to drop on bike are likely older professionals who do not have time to ride multiple times a week or train like a racer. If you are an attorney that works 60hr weeks, why spend your one ride struggling and wheezing? Not saying I agree with this mindset, but I do understand it.

I think riders on pinkbike (including myself) tend to assume everybody who rides eats sleeps and breathes bikes like we do.
  • 80 49
 I work 60+ hrs a week and ride all the time. No need for an e-bike. Those are for pansies. @4thflowkage
  • 33 2
 @ricochetrabbit: I think you are missing my point. You and I are bros at the gym wearing stringers and doing Olympic lifts. These ebikers are people on machines who want to be "toned".
  • 5 58
flag RowdyAirTime (Jan 1, 2021 at 9:19) (Below Threshold)
 @ricochetrabbit: Great, sounds like just another pansie in my way as I pedal right by watching them struggle and swear away...lol.
  • 4 3
 I ride bike parks 95% of the time. @RowdyAirTime:
  • 34 34
 @ricochetrabbit: Well that does explain why you don't need an ebike. Some of us live near mountains with long steep vertical climbs and have no lifts, so sometimes instead of riding my regular bikes, I like a bit of pedal assist so I'm more refreshed to enjoy the downhills. MTB is all about having fun and EMTB's can be a good workout, and that's what many uninformed ebike haters don't realize. Ride on whatever you brought!
  • 5 3
 I live in south Florida tho, so when I do ride here, it’s boring xc with a ton of pedaling. A ebike would be ideal here I suppose. @RowdyAirTime:
  • 21 11
 @ricochetrabbit: Cool. I've been riding Moto X for years and have been riding mountain bikes since the 90's and can say that EMTB'S are a lot of fun (mine is not too heavy 43lbs). I mainly ride my regular pedal bike(s) but sometimes I like to take out my EMTB for those long pedal days. If you have huge steep vertical climbs to get to the downhills with no lift access, EMTB's are hard to beat. You can pick what power mode you want, so can be a really good workout if you want, or can pedal up easier with a big smile on your face. Cheers
  • 4 1
 Do you notice the additional heft vs regular bike?@RowdyAirTime:
  • 16 2
 I would posit that someone motivated and driven enough to work 60hrs a week also isn't afraid of a bit of struggle and suffering, and rides a real bike instead, out of principle and desire. Many also have lights and ride at night. Everyone else can fall back on that tired and overused "I don't have enough time" excuse.
  • 12 9
 @ricochetrabbit: Great question. The additional weight was my biggest dilemma before I ended up actually getting a EMTB (bought on clearance sale). I guess you could say both "yes" and "no" if the extra heft is noticeable. On the uphills and going over obstacles, etc, my EMTB does not feel much heavier, probably due to the power assist of the electric motor (engages so seamlessly and makes you feel like Lance Armstrong) . On the downhills the extra weight is not a hinderance either and can actually help keep the bike more planted. However, when jumping my EMTB, it definitely feels heavier and is much harder to maneuver in the air. I like to pop off everything on the trail and why I got a EMTB that was not too heavy (Focus Jam2 approx 43lbs). Keep in mind, my trail bike (mini enduro) is very light, weighing only 26.5lbs, so any ebike is going to feel heavier when jumping. Many trail bikes are at least 30-35lbs and you can now get EMTB's under 40lbs (Orbea Rise, Specialized Levo SL, LaPierre EZesty), and hopefully more lightweight EMTB's are coming in the next couple of years. The additional weight (heft) for one of these new lightweight EMTB's (less than 5lb difference) would hardly be noticeable compared to many trail/enduro bikes, even when hitting jumps.

I still really enjoy riding my regular bike(s) and ride them the most (so much fun jumping), but like having the option of riding my EMTB, as I can ride it even when not feeling like killing myself pedalling like a mad man. Also my EMTB is real nice for those really long steep vertical climbs as I live near a lot of big mountains.
  • 4 1
 @SlodownU: lol the real question is why do you not have enough time. Kids is one thing, but people are living over their means.
  • 8 1
 @housem8d: I just find that if someone has passion for something wants to do it badly enough, they find a way to do it. The entire "not enough time" notion is an invention of whatever marketing firm was hired to help sell these things. After all, the Nite Riders and other light companies of the world have done quite well with their solutions to the not enough time thing.
  • 5 1
 @SlodownU: nite riding is way more core than ebikes. Btw i agree w what you say
  • 28 3
 @RowdyAirTime: “sounds like just another pansie in my way as I pedal right by watching them struggle and swear away”.

Yeah man. That’s exactly how I feel when I pass someone who’s walking while I’m driving my car. Total superiority over them because they’re using their legs... how quaint. Feeds my god complex nicely.
  • 2 18
flag RowdyAirTime (Jan 1, 2021 at 12:48) (Below Threshold)
 @TypicalCanadian: Wow, "Feeds your God complex nicely", says it all. However, I think most of us will agree that definitely does not sound like a TypicalCanadian comment, so I guess we all just read a bunch of non- typical Canadian BS. Seriously, you feel superior in a car compared to someone walking? That actually sounds dangerous and very confused thoughts???

PS I was just switching the pansie around someone else used to call ebikers. I have a lot of respect for other people, and have no problem with whatever they ride. Life is short and everyone should be able to try and enjoy life while we are here. Ride on everyone...
  • 12 2
 @RowdyAirTime: woooosh

That’s the sound of sarcasm going right over your head....
  • 7 5
 @TypicalCanadian: Ha, ha, you got me...lol. Not only is there a lot of hate and insulting things said on the internet, including very stupid and unintelligent comments, but maybe, just maybe I sometimes take things too seriously, especially when as you said, your post was just sarcasm...lol. I guess I should have known when your comments were so far out there. It's all good. Happy New Year and hope for a good TypicalCanadian 2021 (should not be hard to beat 2020)
  • 3 0
 @RowdyAirTime: all good, cheers buddy!
  • 2 1
 Great point, although I see a lot of higher level management and well paid employees training for marathons. That does sometimes seem to be another 'checkbox that must be checked to keep up with expectations' though...
  • 6 1
 @ricochetrabbit: if you’re actually working 60 hours a week I’d like to know what your definition of ride all the time is.
  • 2 0
 @SlodownU: out of curiosity... how old are you? Have kids?
  • 1 1
 3-4 days a week. Both Saturday and Sunday and a random day or two during the week. @onemanarmy:
  • 5 0
 People keep saying this, but this is not the demographic I see on ebikes in real life. I see mostly 2 types of people on ebikes in real life here on CO trails. The first is young, fit enduro riders banging out laps. The second is guys who look like moto wannabes decked out in full gear with full-faced, goggles, and body armor and they tend to be not-so-great on the way back down and are clearly not from the traditional mtb demographic. Curiously they all seem to be guys. I have yet to see a single woman on an ebike off-road.
  • 2 0
 @ricochetrabbit: you are all that is man!
  • 1 0
 @4thflowkage: just want to say I love your username lmao.
  • 1 0
 @onemanarmy: the other 108 hours includes driving to Alafia River State Park, but not sleep
  • 7 3
 The amount of ebike hate is hilarious to me. Are we all Luddites? I don’t own an ebike and I fear the worst as many of you do (trail overcrowding, poor etiquette, trail closures, riders ignoring laws, etc.) but like it or not, ebikes are here to stay.

The thing that always gets me, though, is how so many people assume that only lazy people ride them. It’s obvious they’ve never ridden one when they say that. For any real mountain biker, the point of an ebike is to go farther, faster. The one time I rode one, my quads cramped after going 4x further than I normally ride. My quads have never cramped on me while riding. I’m not a super athlete—it just shows that I was having so much fun that I was able to push myself harder than on my regular steed. Keep an open mind and maybe even try one out. Either way, they’re here to stay.
  • 4 2
 @RowdyAirTime: amen, brother!
As far as I know, for a while the people w/o indoor plumbing railed on the pansies that had an indoor toilet. Until, one day in the midst or winter, they were invited somewhere, used the hated ceramic bowl and discovered that they didn’t have to rush to take a crap w/o freezing half to death...
  • 1 1
 @Heidesandnorth: Ha, ha, well said.
  • 54 3
 So in summary, physical mtb trade shows, slope style and dh bikes will fall into a terminal decline and we will all get ebikes. Hope you guys are wrong
  • 6 0
 Industry led marketing predictions leading to the fall of MTB..... fingers X'ed
  • 13 4
 If you can stop people from buying e-bikes you might have a chance to change the future.
  • 5 0
 I wouldn’t read too much into their predictions, they were pushing the grim doughnut while EWS pros were downsizing their bikes and going more conservative with the bikes geo. Enduro mag did a great back to back test of multiple enduro bikes and the results make great reading.

I found this a bit of a depressing read, disrupted racing, racers not getting payed, loads of mullet bikes, more ebikes... I hope they are wrong too!
  • 8 1
 @jemscott: this isn't a prescriptive article, there's a bunch of stuff we'd love to be wrong about.
  • 9 2
 I think the Slopestyle comments were about the 'competition' aspect but it should always have remained a spectacle event. 99.something % of people can't do a 720/triple whip (insert ridiculous trick), but we all love to watch it, and judging will always be subjective.

As for e-bikes, I agree it's a shame. The bicycle is one of the best inventions of all time largely because it 100% human powered, but add a motor and you suddenly have...something else. Pedal assist - I don't care. What's the point (maybe a legal grey area between cycle and motorbike which manufacturers are trying to exploit?). Just stick a thumb throttle on it and call it what it really is instead of trying to disguise it as a bicycle. They'll still sell.
  • 4 0
 @tremeer023: my interest in slopestyle has faded as it has entered the "spin it to win it" era. Skiing went through much of the same but now the top park skiers do pretty wild trucks with so much more style which is more appealing to watch
  • 38 0
 Happy to pedal my Transition Patrol around, not obsessed about getting in the maximum number of runs in the time available, because it’s all about being out on the trails. Currently have no intention of getting an e-bike, although a lot of people I know have now bought them.
Biggest downside from the boom in sales, is the number of inexperienced or new riders who are buying e-bikes, because it seems to me that it correlates to an increase in riders with poor trail etiquette and a bad attitude.
  • 11 0
 people just throw money at their equipment instead of even helping build trails or creating a community.
  • 15 1
 Agreed. My local trail centre is now heaving with e-bikes, and many seem to be newer riders (all ages). Buzzing back tyres, barging past, audible displeasure if they are being held up etc. And as technique is lacking with many of these new e-bikers, heavy, fast e-bikes are tearing braking bumps and ruts into corners. Nothing personal against e-bikes, but it’s a concern. PS as a 40-something with a dodgy knee I guess I’m in the core market for an e-bike, but I’ll keep pedalling my normal bike for as long as I can.
  • 9 0
 Nailed it. E-bikes aren't necessarily the problem, it's the people who are buying them.
  • 3 0
 @skelldify: Well said.
  • 4 1
 It's interesting seeing ebikes getting popular. My neighbor has been riding bikes longer than I've been alive, he even helped me get into mtb and is incredibly fit. He just got an ebike this year but still regularly used his normal bike. Talking to him last night, he's now planning on selling the normal bike and doing all ebike. It sure looks amazing. If I had the cash I'd get one too, doing extra laps sounds amazing!
  • 3 0
 I won’t be getting an ebike but can understand that for some it is a great tool. One of my main riding buddies is retired and uses an ebike exclusively now. He’s 30+ years older than me and has great descending skills. So now we can pedal longer rides with more climbing and I get a killer workout and he gets to make it to the top of the climbs without collapsing or being 20 minutes behind. Then we can shred! Win win

However, I’d be lying if I said it isn’t extremely gratifying to pass someone on an ebike. A boat load of extra watts doesn’t turn a novice into a superhero. =p
  • 5 1
 @GazeeMW: if some twat on an e bike buzzed your back tire trying to pass you on a climb, it's fair grounds to throw hands.

I can't believe that nonsense
  • 38 0
 Those tarot card designs deserve to become shirts. Especially the grim donut card.... Thanks for all the entertaining and informative content - it made a tough year a little more fun.
  • 6 0
 I'd pay actual money for that @mikelevy @Tajlucas
  • 19 0
 These designs are absolutely amazing. @Tajlucas - you should just design your own tarot deck ¯\_(ツ)_/¯
  • 6 0
 I’d pay for a shirt as well as a full deck, for my Mtb related divining..
  • 3 0
 @Tajlucas I'd like to commission a mullet card please
  • 35 1
 My prediction: Dual Slalom will start to rise again in place of slopestyle. Strait acres and Crankworx have proven that DS brings together riders of every discipline and always makes for a great show.
  • 2 0
 I hope so. Really enjoy watching those races and would like to give it a shot
  • 5 0
 I'd like to see dual slalom positioned more like MX or BMX, where at Crankworx we're watching brackets of 32 or 16 riders who are amazing, but riding tracks that anybody could ride any other Sunday. Instead, there being so few slalom courses and some are private and some are built and destroyed after the event, DS is marketed like a spectacle -- bikes some brands barely sell, racing treated like a one-off DHers versus freeriders versus enduro specialists kind of gimmick. DS isn't very spectacular, and the brackets take hours to work through. But I think it's the most fun bike discipline to actually ride, and you can be competitive on a cheap bike. Slalom could be positioned as the people's race format--any kind of rider, any kind of bike-- with more investment in tracks.
  • 4 1
 For people new to mountain biking, watching head to head racing is far more engaging. Although extremely unlikely to happen, I would love to see a four cross type mountain bike race where sections of trail are widened to allow for different lines, passing strategy, etc.
  • 8 2
 @Snfoilhat: I think that would be awesome too. Festival style events with an open DS would draw a big field if the courses were not too technical. I’d totally enter DS races because the jumps are all jumpable for the top 50% of mountain bikers and you’re in your own lane. No way in hell I’d enter a 4x race with 16m long doubles, which I’m going to be potentially hitting elbow to elbow with some other c*nt I’m trying to beat to the line. It’s a recipe for disaster most people with jobs and mortgages can’t stomach.
Dual slalom on the other hand - sign me up!
  • 3 0
 @jaame: Multiple riders on the trail at once is dangerous, no doubt. I wouldn't do it, but I'd watch it. And I think many others would too.
  • 4 0
 @rrolly: yeah I’d rather watch 4x but I wouldn’t compete
  • 1 0
 I'm good with that. Especially if more slopestyle guys put out videos like Dawid Godziek's new one. I'll watch a few of those instead of a long drawn out competition.
  • 37 7
 Whilst every other industry is trying to become more ‘green’ the cycling industry is going the opposite direction by pushing ebikes.

And my one question that I’ve never get an answer to from anyone regarding electrical transport for the masses. Where’s all the electricity going to come form?
  • 8 3
 Because profit margins are up to 30% higher on electrics. If making bikes would be your business, you'll produce electrics as well. I hate them, well, I started to get a little warm towards the e-light ones(around or below 16kgs) but even if I'd hate them completely, from a business pov, I'll produce as many models as my business model would permit it.
  • 13 3
 It’s gonna come from burning fossil fuels but as long as its out of sight, out of mind - no guilt. Most people don’t actually care, they just don’t want to feel guilt.
  • 17 10
 How about renewables, huh? Ebikes or no, electric cars or no, we've got to make that switch or we'll be cooked eventually.

Yeah, the "batteries are killing rainforests" propaganda is being shoved hard right now without consideration to the facts that
1.) the most effective way to support development of better technologies is to buy the current best option and ask how/where it's sourced and manufactured, and
2.) electric stuff are still way better (both in terms of manufacturing and lifetime impact) than the petrol versions, EVEN IF it's not powered 100% with renewable energy.

Sure, ebikes have a lot higher environmental impact than regular bikes. But it's funny how people are shitting ebikes for their environmental impact while they are buying carbon bikes in plastic packaging, driving to the trailhead and doing shuttle laps with their petrol powered cars, and some are even riding moto and flying thousands of kilometers a year for good measure.

Contrary to popular belief, ebikes are not a sport of the lazy, its THE way to save a lot of f*cking emmissions and damage to the planet while still moving, and turning any mountain into a bike-park without extensive infrastructure.
  • 17 2
 @nhlevi: emtb's are just another thing humans dont need. Cargo ebikes and urban ebikes actually have the best impact. Less cars, less complication.....

anyways thats how i look at it
  • 4 2
 @housem8d: Dang true, as is for 95% of the MSRP people buy. But then we might as well go back into our caves and eat what we find, that's about all we actually *need*
  • 6 0
 @nhlevi: grug says 26" roll good
  • 4 0
 Electricity comes from renewable energy. In Scotland we pay lots of money for turbines to sit and not rotate! Also carbon neutral energy is a good thing if it works as valuable trees are being replanted. We just need to make sure that scemes like call to recycle or the european schemes for battery recycling continue to improve. I guess much is down to people dont realise what happens in the background. Some companies will adhere to the regulations across the world better than others too.
  • 3 2
 @nhlevi: electric motors are great, batteries suck. nothing green in a battery and it is not a replacement for diesel when it comes to industry. mining equipment and steel mills will never be powered with "green" energy. the emissions created to make the battery can not be overlooked either.
  • 2 0
 @DDoc: I'm not saying that betteries are roses and butterflies, I'm very much aware of their impact, and still an existing electric equivalent of a petrol vehicle is AT LEAST somewhat better, and in many cases a lot better in overall impact and emmissions, depending on how/where the metal for the batteries are sourced, how recycling is handled and what it's powered with. Sure we can always find cases where new tech or improvement would be hard to implement, but people not driving petrol cars to their day jobs would be a great start. We shall see wether that will be achieved with better PT infrastructure, cycle to work schemes, hydrogen fuel cells or electric cars.
Edit: there's significant R&D being dumped into solid-state magnesium batteries which could solve a lot of environmental corncerns in production and end of life phase.
  • 2 0
 "...regarding electrical transport for the masses. Where’s all the electricity going to come form?"

Centralized generation (power plant, even if it's coal burning) is always better than localized generation (car engine).
  • 2 0
 @skelldify: I was in Shenzhen and their public transport, (busses and fantastic underground) and taxis are all electric.
Such a forward thinking city,
Compare USA silicone valley to China silicone valley and one is 2020 and the other stuck in the dark ages!
Not saying all of China is clean but Shenzhen is an example of what can be achieved.
The city has greenery everywhere, its incredible what they have done to be greener.

Not everyone is entitled to a car, there is a lottery each year for potential new car owners.

Or San Fran... the home of 10mpg automatic fuel guzzlers.
  • 2 1
 @betsie: +1. I thought HK was awesome...but, that was before Shenzen. Much more fresh and green feeling.
  • 28 7
 I don't like Brian Parks attitude towards the sport.
  • 32 2
 Too realistic due to suffering from years of relevant experience. We need more blind optimism in our predictions!
  • 16 0
 Anybody else unintentionally read Kaz and levy’s predictions in their voices?
  • 3 0
 Did you also hear Sarah giggling in the background?
  • 4 0
 Levy's didn't include the word "stanchion", so no.
  • 4 0
 @MtbSince84: ooh those smelly suspension tubes
  • 18 3
 I predict the quality of Maxxis tires will be shitty as the last two tires I just bought from them....
  • 2 3
 I bought one that had two layers of rubber delaminating before it was even mounted
  • 2 1
 Only 3c, no dual or single compound.
  • 1 0
 @Dogl0rd: The 29" DD 2.5 WT Maxxgrip Assegai on front not even remotely round and the worst 29" Minion DD 2.5 WT Maxxgrip on Rear makes it feel like my rim is warped. Bike shop said they cannot be returned if used. You need to mount it bring it in unused to show them how out of true they are then they can warranty them. FCKK....
  • 4 1
 @curendero: not true. You can warranty a warped Maxxis tire that has been used. Fill out their web form rather than going through your unhelpful shop. I have had a couple warp on me and Maxxis has been great, not even requiring me to send back the old tire.
  • 1 0
 @DMal: Thanks for the info good sir!! Best news this years so far!!
  • 2 0
 @curendero: I have seen tires warped from the box very rarely, but sometimes poor installation (pulling on the tire too hard with the tire lever usually) can make it all lopsided crazy and it can really mess up the feel. Not saying you are doing it wrong for sure! Maybe you got some bad ones. But I have very rarely seen bad ones out of the box.
  • 2 2
 Lol you sh*theads can downvote me, but that doesn't make my comment untrue
  • 13 1
 I'm always seeing negative industry talk about dh bike sales but the sport seems to be absolutely thriving right now and dh racers and products cleaned up at the yearly awards at pinkbike.

can we get an article explaining the current economics of downhill? why is it that year after year I see all this negative talk around sales and yet its the segment of the sport seeing some of the most exciting development with regards to new bikes and tech every year? I hear the "F1 of mountain biking" saying thrown around a lot but I wanna see some numbers - is it alive and well? is it "dying"? how does it actually work? @mikekazimer
  • 8 1
 I think you kind of answer that to yourself, I see DH racing as Formula1,.. will you buy yourself F1 car for street driving? Nope, if you can get fast cheap to run do it all car. Rather then F1 which you can only take to track but it sux elsewhere.

What I want to say is, that DH bikes will exist, but they will become something of a special tool for the best only. Really high end, really pimped, but only for the best of the best which make the most out of them.
Everyone else will be fine with Enduro bikes.
  • 1 3
 If it's your 3rd or 4th bike, yeah, sure!, if you only have time and space for 1 bike in your life, then, a dh bike is absolutely useless!
  • 3 0
 The point of the "F1 of mountain biking" is that that's where the high tech stuff are developed and that eventually trickles down to smaller/more capable/more sensible bikes. Blatant example for illustration only: just look at how the linkage of the latest Demo was mirrored in the new Enduro a year or so later.
  • 5 0
 @Spiral23: i would love to know more on the numbers though - how many dh bikes have been sold per year in the last 5 years (just how much is it trending downwards)? are dh bikes a cost centre at every bike company? if so, what is the main justification of losing money year over year on dh investments - is it mostly advertising? rnd? a belief that the market will rebound?

i understand the general concepts but i want more details!
  • 14 2
 My prediction, dudes in my area will continue to strap their e-bikes to the back of their car, drive five miles or less to the trailhead, and pull out the e-bike for a 8-10 mile ride. Defeating the whole point of owning said e-bike. I don’t hate e-bikes, I just don’t understand why you’d own one and then drive less than five miles to the trailhead.
  • 1 0
 That's ridiculous. It's like a 20 minute pedal, a nice little warm up on an ebike. Shame and name!
  • 4 1
 @EIDebarge...easy, the 5 miles of road needed to get there is littered with cars/trucks whose drivers are looking at their phones. e/road/mtb or beach cruiser - not a fan of 60mph neighborhood 4 lane boulevards whilst on any of my bikes.
  • 1 0
 @GeneralGroovus: sidewalks and paved bike paths. Any other excuses General?
  • 18 3
 I predict another year of dudes bitching about e-bikes while they ride a chairlift ;P
  • 4 2
 Priceless comment! Add truck shuttles and you got every hypocrite covered...
  • 13 0
 No 32” wheels prediction ? Hmm maybe 2022 then
  • 20 1
 Gonna do 30.25” before moving to 850C in 2023.
  • 7 1
 @brianpark: 32 in the front, 30.25 in the back. Best of both worlds!
  • 4 0
 Nah, 36 front and 32 back. Also DC bikes will become lame and than down city bikes will be next hot cake. Your granny need a capable bike to shred down those stairs.
  • 2 0
 @OneTrustMan: isn’t a downcity bike a gravel bike?
  • 13 0
 A Taj Tarot set would be dope.
  • 10 3
 I've seen about a dozen e-mtb on my rides and none of them were ridden by older riders. All of them youngish and fit. E-mtbs are marketed to young, fit riders by young, fit riders but manufacturers justified creating e-mtbs by saying older riders will benefit. While I like the stories about e-mtbs allowing people to ride that would otherwise not be able to, and more e-mtb customers would keep the cost low enough for those who need them to afford them I regret pulling over on my favorite climb for a young, fit rider on an e-mtb.
  • 11 5
 I wish to purchase a Emtb you had to show ID 55+ or a handicap tag on your car haha. Same with around me. You’ll see 1 older person on a emtb and then 14 of them who just wanna go fast with minimal effort. It’s the world we live in now.
  • 6 0
 Based on current trends dh bikes will be lighter than enduro bikes and well on their way to being lighter than trail bikes. Over the last few years dh bikes have been getting lighter and lighter because racing shows they go faster whilst enduro and trail bikes are getting heavier and heavier for no good reason.
  • 2 1
 DH bikes survive one race run, enduros survive very long and consistent beatings. That is what GMBN said in one of their DH VS ENDURO comparison videos. DH bikes are becoming less park oriented and more race oriented as well, so I can see why they would cater to being lighter instead of durable.
  • 5 0
 I predict that after 5 years of exclusively riding flat pedals I’ll have to switch back to clipless in 2021 since finding a sticky rubber shoe in size 14 appears to now be impossible.
  • 1 1
 Get a set of XT's with good pins and you won't need super sticky shoes. I can't believe how good these pedals are. I have older XT's with standard pins on my other bike and the difference is remarkable.
  • 3 1
 Get a pair of Nukeproofs. You can ride them with cycling shoes, running shoes, walking shoes, hiking shoes..basically, they work with almost every type of sport-shoes.
  • 3 0
 There seems to be a shortage of everything....WTF is going on!!
  • 1 0
 I ride RaceFace Chester in Vans, works great.
  • 4 0
 Does slope style really do so poorly viewership-wise? I’ve only been following for the last 3 years or so, but I look forward to each event and love watching them. Watching guys like Emil, rheeder, godziek, and others go head to head and lay down amazing runs under pressure is so fun to watch!
  • 2 0
 Me too! I haven't been watching for as long as you because I got into the sport about a year ago, but I really do enjoy watching the competitions.
  • 9 2
 The Grim Donut goes into production,Pinkbike sales goes up by 200%.
  • 7 0
 Head tubes go flying an dentist's make a killing from smashed in faces, allowing sales of the new fabled yeti plastic fantastic mobilitE bike go thought the roof an PB laughs all the way to the bank due to making a killing from advertiser clicks an likes/ you tube views revenues
  • 4 0
 Trek Session is due for a rework? What about the Giant Glory? That thing looks so outdated. I dont pay much attention to downhill bike geo numbers. But I suspect that its probably old.
  • 2 0
 Giant got rid of it for 2021. And also got rid of their dh team
  • 6 0
 How To Save Downhill Bike Sales:
Just give us the electric V10 Cathro asked for a few weeks back..
  • 5 2
 New session, new Di2, GX AXS... you can tell which predictions are “informed speculation”

Also mullet bikes are going to the the 27.5+ gimmick of 2021.

Ebikes will have a rollerblade like boom. Lots of new people in the sport which is good for bike companies but bad for everyone else.
  • 1 0
 Keep in mind the "rollerblading boom" has long passed in terms of popularity, and yet small-mid size companies are making more money than ever, just much more quietly.
  • 3 0
 My prediction for the next generation Session is (shocker) a higher main pivot with an idler pulley, but it'll keep the ABP platform and the current vertical shock layout, so it'll still look like a Session. Probably won't be as high as a Supreme DH, though - think the current GT Fury but with a concentric rear pivot instead of a Horst pivot.
  • 2 0
 I would love to see it. I agree on the ABP point. I don't know how much Trek wants to put into a new geometry though. I think they will just make their current geo more race oriented. I could be wrong though, higher pivots are becoming more popular, and Trek did just recently make the Supercaliber, which has special geo for a certain discipline. They might make a special geometry for their dh bikes too.
  • 6 3
 Surprised to see nothing about geo trends in 2021. Maybe that in itself is a prediction.

I'm excited about ebikes growing into mainstream. Everyone who's ridden them raves how fun they are. Including just about all the pros who can whipe the floor with the keyboard warriors here. I haven't given one a emtb a go yet, but I've had an ebike commuter/dad rig for the last two years and I love the damn thing. Ten mile commute is a breeze now, and just about all the errands in the neighborhood have been replaced by the ebike. The notion of getting more runs, in the same amount of time is incredibly appealing honestly, and we have like 3 different non-lift bike parks around here where ebikes would be perfect. Might start saving my pennies.
  • 6 0
 Mike Levy will be banned from wearing latex
  • 1 1
 Better also ban him from getting it on or else there'll be little Mike Levys running about.
  • 6 1
 This one is false, unfortunately.
  • 2 0
 I agree with Levy's prediction that domestic manufacturing will slowly increase. additionally, I think a lot more companies will be thinking about vertically integrated supply chains, true across industries, but cycling as well. On the consumer end, I think a lot more people want to know the story behind what they buy. I hope we can keep buildng interest to support a stable, profitable market for mid and high end producers of all kinds of stuff. We have swage tooling up the wazoo in North america, but to my knowledge, not a single alloy bar made here. Velocity has alloy rims covered by themselves, they need some competition. GG is expanding, and We Are One announced an upcoming frame, lets see more of that!

I also think that given Shimano and srams supply chain issues, we are all going to hear a lot more about TRP, Microshift, Sunrace, Box etc. Wouldnt be surprised if even some big brands are looking at them to cover some bases this year. Maybe that will be the push they need to become real competitors in that space. How cool would it be to have more than two complete drivetrain options that can actually compete with the big 2?
  • 1 0
 I cant imagine someone buying an ebike wanting to see the FMD for it any time soon!
Nor the weee, Rohs, REACH, EU battery directive compliance, list of exemptions applied for.

Who knows if their bluetooth device has regional clearance before buying it and if its been to a test house for RF testing... or did it suffer for the 2020 BLE bug (only Nordic devices didnt suffer and that's around 65%of the market).

What about COO and conflict minerals!

I sound like our materials expert now every time we want to make a slight product change and we have to do an EIA report when he starts going on!
  • 2 0
 Will future signings be more oriented towards content creators in general and less racers seeing contracts? Will we see more Seth Bike Hacks and BKXC’s which seems hard to believe considering everyone (and their dog) are currently “professional” Youtubers.
  • 2 0
 At the mountian creek Shane Leslie (not sure thats the right spelling) was on a pro type session that def wasn’t a high pivot that everyone was talking about coming out so I can only
Imagine the session we’ll stay similar
  • 2 0
 The content featuring, and presence of, @mikelevy and @mikekazimer are the reason I (and many others) stay glued to this site. Thanks guys. Much of my recreational spending relies on your published opinions.
P.S. I'll put $250 on Kaz...
  • 2 0
 Wanna slow ebike sales? Just talk about them as being beginner bikes to get people into the sport. If u can make that view stick it will be hard for the younger people to want to use them. Then the older people or those with dissabilities can use them as intended as that's there intended use. I'm not gonna believe it's cooler to use an electric powered bike if you do not need to unless your in the category I mentioned or are a new rider starting out e.g. beginner bikes.
  • 2 0
 My local trails are full of emtbs and some are ridden by older people with good trail etiquette but most are young douchy endurobros riding xc trails tearing up the berms whilst too many of them have Bluetooth speakers hanging of them with shitty music playing for everyone in a half mile radius to hear...awesome
  • 2 0
 What do you have against mumble rap?
  • 2 0
 @flymiamibro22: haha...nothing I think it's an underrated genre filled with a subtle style of sublimely interspersed melodies that everyone should have the pleasure of hearing farted out of a shitty 10watt distorting speaker at full chat in a serene woodland vista.
  • 4 0
 Slope style courses just need to be built different instead of the same features every time
  • 2 0
 Wireless Saint with a direct mount crank is the only thing that will get me riding gears again (apart from my XC/trail shed). Morw than likely UK prices of bikes an parts even second hand are going to FKNG sky rocket....
  • 3 0
 And I will DEFINITELY do more swears an be much usual grumpy FK MTB SELF and probably get my bucket list PB ban like my hero Waki
  • 6 2
 @nojzilla: considering waki was self-banned, you are free at anytime.
  • 18 14
 I dont give a damn what the “industry” says. I will not ever ride a 29er. Kick rocks
  • 11 8
 your loss
  • 4 0
 Same. I'm 5'5" with a 29" inseam. Every 29er I've been on felt awkward and imprecise. Nothing I've tried has felt as good as a 27.5" hardtail with short chainstays.
  • 2 0
 @schu2470: my wife has been on all wheels sizes at 5,1”. She likes 29ers and rides pretty hard. Wink
  • 3 1
 I’m not convinced bike sales will be huge in 2021 like they were in 2020 Purely because of logistics in getting them to shops. Of back orders are as long as we are told them how are the bikes going to be available to sell
  • 6 1
 a Specialized product wins 2021 BOTY
  • 1 0
 @mikelevy Dunno about the small brands gaining ground on the big guys - the limited no of quality factories will prioritise those who can commit to decent order volumes and be able to pay consistently- that’s the big guys.
Spesh have bought up 3 yrs worth of build slots with a particular factory that a brand I work with uses, thereby squeezing out the little guy.
  • 1 0
 How about someone like Reeb and Guerrilla Gravity who have their own manufacturing facilities?
  • 5 0
 The rise of AI drivetrains
  • 1 0
 Completely automated carbon manufacturing will become a thing soon... mark my words. Some brands are already doing it. If we can get big companies to have more efficient manufacturing technologies then we will have cheaper bikes, or increased profit margins.
  • 2 1
 4. Declining @mikekazimer. Speaking of Mike Kazimer, reading his echo chamber drivel is about as tiring as it gets, and we're planning on lighting him up in the Pinkbike comments sections whenever he puts on his dork-tinted glasses and espouses his shit in 2021. When it comes to justifying owning a DH bike, it’s easy! If you like to ride a DH bike, then you can own one, and ride it for fun – no racing required!

Today's enduro bikes can be limped down the hardest trails by expert riders with only slight tracks of shit being detectable in their underwear, and still be pedaled around by trail clones in turquoise blue helmets within 500 meters of overcrowded trailheads that everyone drove 45+minutes to arrive at!

There's also the fact that that Pinkbike & their corporate partners have a raging, unbridled erection for e-bikes and they are looking for each & every opportunity to cram e-bikes down customers throats to the behest of their corporate partners.
  • 3 0
  • 3 0
 Are we going to get to see the Zeb Vs 38 review that Dan Roberts has written months ago in 2021???
  • 4 0
  • 1 0
 lots of articles on other publications on this.... I predict a Zeb 2.0 for 2022 or mid 2021.
  • 1 0
 @brianpark: Excellent. Can't wait!
  • 3 0
 I fear what Brian is describing. Are we just summer skiing now thanks to the Pandemic?
  • 7 4
 Predictions for 21... People will keep on bitching about Ebikes as if they were poisoning their family.
  • 10 6
 They kinda are?
  • 3 0
 If 2020 was the year that wasn't then 2021 will be the year that almost was.
  • 1 0
 Trailheads were packed in 2020, could hardly get parked! Wondering what it’s going to look like in 2021, are trails going to be as busy or will people go back to doing whatever it was they were doing in 2019?
  • 1 0
 Looking at the new ep8 motors and the fact that shimano has a new E-TUBE wire, it would lead me to believe anything new in the di2 realm will still be wired. ???? shimano always on the reaction cycle these days.
  • 1 1
 Emtbs, nor the people who ride them are the problem. The problem is the attitudes on here. I've never had a problem with an emtb rider, and having been one for two years now they are hella good fun. Anything that brings more riders into the sport is a good thing. Also, I've never had a problem with people in RL hating on ebikes, cause the haters are just a bunch of keyboard warriors who need to spend less time hating and more time riding!
  • 1 0
 Mullet bikes suck if you ride in the back country suck since you have to carry two sizes of tubes. Not an issue on short rides or for just riding park though. Good to see options.
  • 3 1
 Definitely only need to carry one size. They all work Wink
  • 3 1
 Also, my 5 year prediction is that more riders will move to doing Crankworx instead of a full-time UCI schedule.
  • 3 0
 What is SRAM's UDH (from brian parks predictions)?
  • 7 1
 Universal derailleur hanger... I think!
  • 3 0
 @Heywood165: this deserves more props.
  • 2 0
 Universal derailleur hanger
  • 3 0
 Prediction for 2021: A new generation of the YT Capra.
  • 3 0
 Will you even predict who the winners of the advent calendar are?
  • 4 0
 27.5 will never die
  • 4 2
 Imagine talking about 27.5 in 2021
  • 1 0
 Based on my job prospects I predict I’ll be sending my 26er single speed dh bike hard as funk for a good portion of the year!
  • 1 0
 @mikelevy How are we as a MTB community are not talking about how autonomous electric cars can be used as a shuttle service on any given hill?
  • 3 1
 Am I the only one who expected some grim donut related prediction?
  • 3 0
 Great article.
  • 2 0
 Where are the advent calendar winners?
  • 1 0
 Hey PB feel like posting some numbers on how well the buy and sell is doing compared to other years?
  • 1 0
 it's going crazy.
  • 2 0
 More dentists buy ebikes.
  • 1 0
 I only liked the bit about seeing Gwin back at the top. Good luck for '21 AG!
  • 1 0
 Shimano will hopefully sort the production problems with latest Deore casette whose biggets sprockets keep loosening.
  • 1 1
 I predict ebikes will have more powerful motors , and be able to ride further distances, oh wait those already exist they are called motorcycles......
  • 3 1
 More donuts in 2021
  • 1 3
 You say donuts I see dentists
  • 1 0
 Excited to hear Pinkbike’s plans to go even bigger in 2021!
  • 1 0
 I predict more trail/enduro bikes with an idler being released....
  • 9 10
 DH ain’t dead
E bikes aren’t all that bad
Slope style can fade away
Fest series will reign !!!
I hope racing comes back
  • 3 8
flag mxmtb (Jan 1, 2021 at 10:33) (Below Threshold)
 Awe some little kids down voted me for saying slopestyle sucks
  • 3 2
 @mxmtb: no thats because of the e-bike comment lol
  • 3 1
 @mxmtb: no I downvoted you and I’m in my 40s.
  • 2 4
 @mxmtb: PB does not allow you to callout any of these juvenile delinquents and apparently supports them putting anyone down anyone who likes ebikes and will show your comments as Below Threshold if you even attempt to speak up. This is due to many PB readers being little kids...
  • 2 0
 What about an e-donut?
  • 1 0
 All marketing is lame, always
Below threshold threads are hidden

Copyright © 2000 - 2024. Pinkbike.com. All rights reserved.
dv56 0.051355
Mobile Version of Website