Qualifying Analysis from the Leogang DH World Cup 2023

Jun 16, 2023
by Ed Spratt  
Vali Holl in front of a very familiar backdrop.

Riders have not had long to get over the packed weekend of racing in Lezerheide as it is already time to qualify for the second round of the year in Leogang. Some surprise wet and windy weather played havoc during qualifying particularly affecting the men's competition.

As riders try and figure out how to attack the now wet course in Leogang after getting dusty practice laps, let's get into the results and stats.



Qualifying Results


Flyin Finn Iles down the motorway.

Overall:

Elite Women

1st. Vali Höll: 3:32.941
2nd. Camille Balanche: 3:34.960
3rd. Nina Hoffmann: 3:37.265
4th. Monika Hrastnik: 3:38.626
5th. Tahnee Seagrave: 3:40.224
Elite Men

1st. Davide Palazzari: 3:11.755
2nd. Matt Walker: 3:11.998
3rd. Ian Guionnet: 3:12.926
4th. Johan Garcin: 3:14.217
5th. Loris Revelli: 3:15.655

Full results, here.



Sector by Sector Overall Positions


Camille Balanche is somewhat of a Leogang specialist and will be hoping to go one better than she managed in Lenzerheide last week.

A closer look at the top five overall race positions as riders passed through each timing gate.


Elite Women


Sector 1
1st. Camille Balanche: 38:511
2nd. Vali Höll: +0.032
3rd. Tahnee Seagrave: +0.58
4th. Rachel Atherton: +0.609
5th. Monika Hrastnik: +0.9

Sector 2
1st. Camille Balanche: 1:31.699
2nd. Vali Höll: +0.465
3rd. Nina Hoffmann: +1.597
4th. Rachel Atherton: +2.555
5th. Monika Hrastnik: +2.873

Sector 3
1st. Vali Höll: 2:13.793
2nd. Camille Balanche: +2.222
3rd. Nina Hoffmann: +2.913
4th. Rachel Atherton: +5.027
5th. Tahnee Seagrave: +5.032

Sector 4
1st. Vali Höll: 2:57.273
2nd. Camille Balanche: +1.711
3rd. Nina Hoffmann: +3.386
4th. Rachel Atherton: +5.547
5th. Monika Hrastnik: +5.881

Finish
1st. Vali Höll: 3:32.941
2nd. Camille Balanche: +2.019
3rd. Nina Hoffmann: +4.324
4th. Monika Hrastnik: +5.685
5th. Tahnee Seagrave: +7.283


Elite Men


Sector 1
1st. Ian Guionnet: 34:454
2nd. Matt Walker: +0.048
3rd. Fernando Juan Munoz: +0.347
4th. Johan Garcin: +0.403
5th. Loris Revelli: +0.728

Sector 2
1st. Ian Guionnet: 1:22.677
2nd. Matt Walker: +0.365
3rd. Davide Palazzari: +1.356
4th. Johan Garcin: +1.49
5th. Loris Revelli: +1.783

Sector 3
1st. Matt Walker: 2:02.025
2nd. Ian Guionnet: +0.616
3rd. Johan Garcin: +0.817
4th. Dante Silva: +1.835
5th. Sam Blenkinsop: +1.916

Sector 4
1st. Matt Walker: 2:39.264
2nd. Ian Guionnet: +0.635
3rd. Davide Palazzari: +0.718
4th. Johan Garcin: +2.078
5th. Dante Silva: +3.452

Finish
1st. Davide Palazzari: 3:11.755
2nd. Matt Walker: +0.243
3rd. Ian Guionnet: +1.171
4th. Johan Garcin: +2.462
5th. Loris Revelli: +3.900




Story of the Session


Elite Women



Elite Men



Stats Breakdown



photo


photo



The top 15 qualifying margins were plotted before including results at positions 20, 25, 30, 35 and 35. The green area marks riders who have qualified to semi-finals.

The top 15 qualifying margins were plotted before including results at positions 20, 30, 40, 50, 60, 70, 80, 90, 100, 110, 120, 130, 140, 150 and 155. The green area marks riders who have qualified to semi-finals.

photo

photo



Talking Points


Vali Hoell going for nothing but the top step on her home-track.

Vali Höll & Camille Balanche are Going to be Tough to Beat

In the Elite Women's qualifying it was Vali Höll and Camille Balanche who were in a league of their own as they traded blows at the front of the race. From the second split onward no other rider would come within a second of the pair and by the end they would be well clear of the rest of the field. Vali Höll would perform best in the tricky conditions as she pulled just over two seconds ahead of Camille Balanche. Camille Balanche herself would build another two-second plus gap back to third-placed Nina Hoffmann. While Vali Höll was strong in qualifying if the past few years in Leogang have taught us anything it's that Camille Balanche is dominant in the wet here. We are in for a real fight between these two and we can't wait to watch it unfold tomorrow.

Can last year s winner Matt Walker make up for last weekend s mechanical misfortune.

The Sector Between Split 4 & the Finish was Crucial for the Men

While the men's race ended up being a bit of a mess with changing conditions offering very different challenges as the riders made their way down the one thing we have spotted is how the final sector to the line really changed up the top five. Heading into the final part of the course we saw Matt Walker and Ian Guionnet changing hands of the race lead and seemed like the riders on top during their runs. But in the final section, Matt Walker lost around 0.9 seconds and Ian Guionnet about 1.2 to the eventual fastest rider. We are not sure what they may have down here but one thing that is certain is that qualifying winner Davide Palazzari must have had a great split as he jumped from third to first, this follows a strong ride through the always wild lower woods where he also made up time. The final part of the course seems to have been a trouble area for Dante Silva as he was on his way to a top-five finish before this part of the course knocked him back to 8th position. If conditions remain for tomorrow this will be a spot to keep an eye on in the live broadcast.

Dante Silva digging into the Austrian dirt.

Riders Will Have to Start Over Tomorrow

Perhaps the biggest takeaway from the washout that was qualifying is that all the lines and practice so far could be completely useless if the course remains wet for tomorrow. Practice is very limited in the morning with an already packed racing schedule giving riders no chance to properly reset once the semi-finals begin. Riders will be paying close attention to any footage from today's qualifying hoping to find a line they can get some practice on ahead of the first fight against the clock to advance into finals.




Author Info:
edspratt avatar

Member since Mar 16, 2017
3,093 articles

35 Comments
  • 27 2
 again, i know its a mtb blog, but some of these charts are super frustrating. why aren't all axis labeled? what does the color change in the 'Time Difference to Leader' mean? is that 60 seconds on the x-axis? the point of a chart is to quickly and concisely get the point across and i'm sitting here feeling like i missed something. i do like the effort in trying to get some metrics but it needs to makes sense to the reader.
  • 4 0
 I think it's pretty obvious that the green/red is where the cutoff would have been had this been the semis.
  • 20 0
 It's an annoying quirk of the software I use to create some of the charts. I will try something else out for the finals analysis tomorrow so the charts should hopefully be clearer.
  • 4 2
 @edspratt: i would also recommend looking at other interesting statistics that might make more sense to the reader and make it mean something. regression analysis can show the relationship between variables that might be worth exploring. sample size is always important and i realize you're probably not a statistician but i think you're on to something with these reports. kudos!
  • 1 0
 If you can slow down your scrolling and read the little blurb at the top and bottom of the charts, I think it's explained well enough.
  • 10 0
 Data is beautiful
  • 8 0
 Beauty is dataful
  • 4 0
 I'm glad we have the new format. If the weather stays stable in semis the starting order can return to normality for finals, instead of having a race already over with 20 or so riders to go
  • 2 0
 The biggest news from the day is that most (grossly mathematically underrepresented in the results) of the riders ranked 30-40 in WC points didn’t qualify. This is “mathematically impossible” if not for an act of god, which is to say, the weather for about thirty riders was much worse. I love bad weather, it’s a dice toss and makes for an interesting race. But we’re talking “qualies”, man, and a lot of those precious “any given sunday” riders are going to miss a chance at precious points. I’m still not crushin’ on the new format…
  • 4 0
 Which one of your friends didn't qualify? This is no different to how it was in the past.
  • 1 0
 TL;DR - God hates maths
  • 3 2
 so many presentations of the SAME data! Instead of showing 3 different graphs showing the cumulative time and position at each split.....wouldn't it be informative to actually show the time and ranking for each split? I think you are missing the entire premise of splits.
  • 6 0
 This data isn't readily available on the UCI website for qualifying like it was in previous years. So we only have overall positions for splits. I calculated the split times for our finals analysis last week but it's too much to do this for the 150+ riders in qualifying
  • 3 0
 I've never heard of most of the men's top five, which means I'm stoked for all of them.
  • 1 0
 How does Davide Palazzari finish faster than Matt Walker overall, when Matt is faster at each split, are there sections of the coures not accounted for in the splits? If so, shouldn't the split timing be all or nothing?
  • 2 0
 The world has gone mad if this is the kind of data we think we need to look at in the sport of downhill mountain biking.
  • 1 0
 Oh good…it’s not just me then.
I like idea if the “perfect run” of the fastest guy in each sector,but that’s about it.
This goes right along with quails, semis and race run.
It’s just too much and it’s like trying to have sex a second time with whisky dick
  • 1 0
 Is that the same Matt Walker that races Enduro (EDR)?? Also, anyone else get Tableau data analysis software vibes from all these graphs? Reminds me too much of work.
  • 3 0
 It's Matt Walker on Madison Saracen, not the enduro lad on Pivot Factory Racing.
  • 2 0
 @Tommtbg: Pivot Matt raced after during the enduro but didn’t make it through
  • 1 0
 In timing sheets/ results etc
NZ Matt is listed as Matthew Walker
GBR Matt is listed as Matt Walker
  • 3 0
 kudos to Roger Vieira
  • 2 0
 Would be cool to see data of just the post storm riders
  • 3 0
 Or to see scatter plot times of everyone based on drop in order
  • 1 0
 what is to determine the quali run order?
  • 1 0
 Great analysis, but where is the list of riders that made it to semis?
  • 4 0
 We have just published the start lists here
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