The Accell Group, owner of
Lapierre, Ghost, Haibike, Raleigh & more, has been bought in a deal totalling €1.56 billion by a consortium led by the KKR Group.
KKR Group is an American investment firm with involvement in brands as wide ranging as Gibson guitars, Epic Games and Lyft alongside a number of pharmaceutical, energy, financial and property businesses. Accell will not be the first cycling brand in the group's portfolio as it is also
an investor in Zwift, following a $450 million funding injection it gave to the brand in September 2020 for a minority stake.
The Consortium will take the Accell Group private after reaching a conditional agreement of €58 per share, representing a total value of approximately €1.56 billion. This price is a premium of 26% over the closing price of Accell's shares on 21 January 2022 and a premium of 21% to the Group’s all-time high closing price of €48.00 per share.
Accell Group will largely remain unchanged for now with CEO Ton Anbeek, CFO Ruben Baldew and CSCO Francesca Gamboni continuing in their roles from the Group's headquarters in Heerenveen, Netherlands.
A KKR press release also states that, "the Group’s corporate identity, integrity, values and culture will be maintained" and "all existing rights and benefits of the Group’s employees will be respected and no reduction of the workforce of the Group is envisaged as a direct consequence of the Transaction or completion thereof."
 | Today’s announcement marks an important step for Accell Group. With the Consortium as our new shareholder we will have a financially strong and knowledgeable partner to accelerate the roll-out of our existing strategic roadmap, enhance our global footprint, explore suitable acquisitions and further leverage our scale. As such, the Transaction will enable us to take a leap forward as a group which also brings along enhanced career opportunities for our employees. We continuously strive to be a leader in the bicycle industry by combining smart design and innovative technology with the best value and customer experience. With KKR coming on board as majority shareholder, and with the continued support of Teslin, we would be able to accelerate the execution of our strategic agenda, launch new innovations for green mobility and support to the benefit of people and communities.—Ton Anbeek, CEO, Accell Group |
The KKR Group says it will be hoping to create a longterm strategy for Accell to "accelerate the growth and roll-out of the Group’s business strategy, including potential acquisitions," as well as "launch new innovations for green mobility and support to the benefit of people and communities."
More info, here.
163 Comments
To your second point, after the acquisition there is no shareholders. KKR only has itself (and it’s investors) to answer too. That could be just as bad but there is at least no day to day stock price and market cap they have to worry about.
But don't let those facts interfere with the narrative of the presumption that KKR is an evil corporation that only intends to destroy brands, raise prices, lower quality, an and intentionally do harm to the cycling industry for nefarious purposes.
Hey, whatever happened to the Pinkbike paywall that Pinkbike prognosticators were promising after the Outside buyout?
Europe is "strong" but willingly sucks Uncle Sam while China is taking it from behind.
It's sickening
Wait til this guy finds out PE firms take companies private. Not to mention the Revlon duty to get the highest price ie make KKR pay as large a premium as they thought cashflow could support.
-weebleswobbles
I can imagine that KKR looked at the business, which was a formerly stable cash generator on limited sales growth and they saw the spike in sales in higher-end bikes in 2020 and figured that if they can solve the current supply chain issues, they can continue to see growth like 2020 extending on into the future. Because so much of the product is now produced in Taiwan, brands don't have a lot of capital invested in their own factories; they're mostly designers and marketeers, so the ROIC numbers are high. And customers seem to be tolerating the 7% to 15% price increases in the last year quite well. So at the cursory level that these folks run numbers, the business is very attractive.
But there's real risk that they've overestimated market growth when supply chain issues are solved. I suspect that a lot of the sales of entry-level "real" bikes (not department store specials) were driven by the unavailability of department store bikes. People sucked it up and bought an $1,100 bike for Suzie as a graduation present because they couldn't get a $400 bike at Dick's Sporting Goods, and that's what she really wanted. And people who wanted a $1,500 entry level aluminum bike from their LBS sucked it up and spent $3,000 on a higher end model because they couldn't get any $1,500 bikes.
Also, there are probably many buyers who "pulled sales forward," because they had a bike on their "wish list" for "someday," and when Covid came along and they were spending a lot of time at home, they bought a bike now that they would have bought two or three years hence. So the current boom in sales might be driven mainly by future sales coming in because people didn't want to miss out. And thus, sales in 2023 and beyond are flat.
If demand is lower than expected, look for these guys to take the chainsaw to these brands in the next two years, and the worst scenario coming to pass.
Yes, Peloton is seeing sales crash at the moment, for the reasons you cite. While that may be some indication of the outdoor bike market peaking, I'd be cautious about assuming a high correlation between stationary bike sales and outdoor bike sales. That's because the "buyer's journey," the thought process that the customer uses to purchase the product, is likely to be very different for exercise bikes versus "real" bikes. There's some overlap, sure, but it's certainly not 100%. I'd bet that the number of people who thought "I'm either going to buy a Peloton or a gravel bike and I'm not sure which" is quite small versus the number of people who said "I want an exercise bike, I evaluated the different brands, and ended up with a Peloton." It's similar to the likelihood that few people say "I need transportation; I'll consider either an SUV or a Harley Davidson." That just doesn't happen very often.
I agree with the idea that the new bike market will peak, but for different reasons and on a different timetable than the slowdown in stationary exercise bikes, which seems to be happening already.
Do you think these purchases are a downstream effect of the overall gains of the markets?
is it possible these firms had tons of gains from their own stock portfolios in 2020/2021
and needed/decided to reinvest before getting hit with gains taxes, or their stocks dropped?
I'm no expert, just a thought.
First, public equity firms are private partnerships, so they don't have a stock price that they have to worry about. Unlike mutual funds, they buy 100% of the stock of a publicly traded company, which removes the acquired company's stock from trading on the market. I am not doing investment management anymore, so I don't track this as closely as I did, but I don't think they're taking portfolio companies public much in the last couple years. They typically keep portfolio companies for 5-7 years while they "improve" them (usually involving loading them up with tons of new debt), so they don't have to worry about short-term capital gains.
Second, while tax planning may be a factor, I think the biggest driver driving them to put money to work is the continuing avalanche of money coming into these funds, mostly from large "boring" institutional money managers like insurance companies who invest part of their inflows into higher-risk asset classes like venture capital or private equity. There aren't a lot of of mega-deals ($10 billion-plus) that make sense for private equity given current valuations. So they have to focus on smaller deals ($500 million to $10 billion), and probably a lot more on smaller deals within that range. And they've got to get into industries that they haven't looked at before, so non-US outdoor sports makers are now coming to the fore, where they were ignored in the past.
While I agree with many of your points, I think the cyclicality of the bike market is pretty well understood. If all of us can wrap our heads around it I think the folks betting the millions have at least asked the question. Especially when there's plenty of data to be had - I'm sure KKR took a look at the other Bike Co's that have been up for sale as of late. And SRAM has issued term loans for years and I bet KKR has seen their #s too. Not that they can't be wrong, but I'm sure they at least have a thesis as to how they're gonna hit their return target and have put some thought into what'd I'd consider a very basic due diligence item.
And to KKR's credit they are reasonably operationally focused, and have on of the larger Ops teams in the space. I spent a bit of time working for a reasonably large manufacturer and I think its safe to say it was not the most efficient or best-run operation - there are probably a lot of improvements they can make that won't destroy quality (which is probably mostly controlled by the Asian manufacturer anyway) and may not even result in layoffs (though I fully recognize that that's become an overused tool these days and I wouldn't put it past them).
Also, @KidCharlemagne KKR is actually public - most of the large PE firms have decided to publicly list over the last 15 years or so. Granted, their LPs (ie the people who directly benefit from their investments) are still the institutional folks you mentioned. As a public shareholder you're investing in KKR itself and are somewhat removed from their actual investment performance.
What about oil price ? They're higher than ever (or than quite a while), will they go down ?
We have supposedly reach peak oil (we don't discover enough anymore to keep growth), or rather plateau oil, so for now the world may enter an era of fluctuation where growth is quickly followed by inflation, then a drought and crisis, then growth and inflation, then drought and crisis, etc...
If so many people may have to turn to bicycle as much as possible.
ohhhh boyyy might see even stronger growth.
There are already local programs (.e.g. www.bikesonoma.org/scp_ebike)
Pon noted their desire to be involved with sustainable transit
as part of their reason for expanding into bike world more (re: recent acquisition of Mikes Bikes)
Pon also owns a bunch of mobility share programs (e.g. pon.com/en/activities/automotive/mobility-services-retail/next-urban-mobility )
Politicians get headlines for denying climate change,
but the billionaire moguls know the change is coming,
building self sufficient compounds in Montana
and getting into water scarcity trading early ( futurehuman.medium.com/water-is-being-traded-on-the-stock-market-for-the-first-time-55c02bb616ed )
On day 1 the new CEO sprays the legs of his mahogany desk silver with a rattlecan and no masking. No masking whatsoever.
Plot twist: What if Sam is the venture capitalists.
One thing I imagine this is about is Ebikes, Ebikes, Ebikes - they are the future of the MTB business.
@Jo-rides: yea agree, we have a skewed idea of top tier, a $2000 bike to non bike people is very top end indeed and much of it is bullshit and perception anyway, e.g. is a top YT really significantly worse than a top Yeti.
Will the big infrastructure Bill change any of that?
Don't give any BS about the number of cars you take of the road. It's culture plain and simple. America is a car culture. You could have entire vehicle lane devoted to bikes and it'd still be under utilized while causing ore problems.
@TheOriginalTwoTone : I live just north of Amsterdam, The Netherlands. Just like many cities here, they're exchanging car lanes for bicycle lanes. As mentioned, there is more traffic on the cycle lanes than ever. They're also creating so called "snelfietsroutes" (fast cycle lanes) which are as wide as a car lane so that people can safely ride fast on their fast e-bikes and road race bikes (or just whoever wants to hurry up). Some other roads become "fietsstraat, auto te gast" (bicycle lane, car is guest) so cars can still ride there but have to adapt their pace to the cyclists. Some other crossings are even intentional chaos, which works as long as there are no cars present. As chaos usually works itself out and people pay better attention. But cars just aren't agile enough to work in chaos.
Please find me all these people that are going to start commuting to work on bikes when it already take 1 hour by car in a city like DC Hot humid summers, cold winters.
I like riding, f*ck riding to work in the summer or winter.
Sure on a bike you're exposed to weather but really, how soft have we become? Clothing has become so good, pretty sure you can get clothes that keep you warm and dry. And I think the availability of pedal assist tackles some other complaints like steep hills, longer distances, strong headwinds or too hot weather (so that you can be easy on the pedals and still keep a decent pace).
I could exceed the TL;DR threshold another few times but it basically comes down to this: any big city can be made more cycling-friendly and it will be better/prettier in ever aspect.
"the average D.C.-area worker spends 43 minutes getting to and from work. And more than a third travel 45 minutes or more to work every day."
So assume 20mph ebike, sweet I can see people lining up now for 1.5 hour commute each way to work. I can't believe people are still driving cars, what morons.
Anyway, you don't need to cater to the "average" commuter. If you offer those that live closer (e.g., the one third that travel less than 30 minutes each day) the opportunity to use safe cycling infra that require limited stopping and vehicle interactions (as in that Finnish video), you will convert many to using bicycles on a regular basis.
Among the findings was the following: the average commute time and distance for single occupant vehicles was 39 minutes and 17.6 miles, respectively. Average speed: 27 miles/hour. That's just pathetic.
Get those cycle paths in place and the ones that live 10-15 miles and closer will switch to (e-)bikes in a heartbeat.
Long story short, I had worked for a chemical tanker shipping company years ago in CT where KKR eventually bought them out in hopes of a 4 million dollar return over the course of 3 years. They had no business in our industry, seeing as not one of them ever set foot aboard a ship, nor did they have any clue what was involved with a liquid chemical tanker ship. They were not interested in investing into maintaining or repair work on the ships, nor did they acknowledge the commercial leadership and decision making from the CEO and chartering departments (the guys who sealed deals with oil majors, spot market, etc.). Three or four of their accounting nerds would show up two or three times a year to check in on the status of the company, and I remember them being cold and standoffish. The company eventually completely dissolved and sold off all their remaining ships.
What I am trying to say is, sometimes capitalism fails, and you cannot trust large investment firms to know what they're doing.
I guess it's better than buying NFTs or something, but I think this will look like a bad move in a year or two.
If it worked it would also cut down on the X left this team and Y joined this team articles on PB as I would be the only team. Win win!
It seems lots of people completely forget about how big mountainbiking could become and how hard it is do find investors. Sure, some brands will die or already did. On the first hand it’s sad, on the other hand for the sake of the sport, it’s not always that bad. Niche brands will always be available for a reason and sure at certain price point.
Keep in mind, a lot of innovative products and news were developed by brands belonging to a bigger investment group. Does that mean the brand loses its “heart and soul”? I don’t give a darn as long as people ON the bikes keep their heart & soul. Sorry to burst your bubble, a “product” doesn’t have a soul.
The other side is there are more “heart and soul” brands out there than we actually need. Not that they’re hurting anything or that I’m not glad they’re there. But most of the people complaining had a 0.2% chance of ever purchasing from these brands because there is so much to choose from. It’s great that people wanting the illusion of a product with a soul have so many choices, but losing 2 isn’t going to hurt much.
In the same time skiing adopted lots of those innovations from snowboarding and this helped skiing becoming more fun and bringing back snowboarders on the skis.
Luckily mountainbiking already grew a little bit out of its rebellious existence and is well aware of its marked potential. So I don’t assume the biking industry will run into the same collapse as snowboarding as a sport did.
I do think mountain biking is over that hump. At this point the technology has progressed so that new riders have a point and shoot option that just works instead of the constantly breaking, never quite good enough gear of the past. And the economies of scale are almost there to offer really solid options at more reasonable prices - we just need the shipping containers and stability to let that happen. And at least in the US new trails are springing up all over the place. And those trails include green and blue trails that are an absolute riot even for good riders.
The past 10 years were a golden age of technology progress and I’m guessing the next 10 will be about making that progress accessible to the middle class masses. Obviously it doesn’t feel like that in the moment, but disruptions can only delay the fundamentals so long.
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